Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 02/04/16

Horse Racing betting

Wolf’s Best
Libran (Randwick Race 3, No.1)
Libran got the chocolates for The Wolf last start and he’s going back to the well. This stayer in the all-conquering Chris Waller yard has been targeted at this race all along. He wanted to duck out in the straight in the Manion Cup but still had plenty in reserve at the finish. Once these distance horses find their groove this time of year, they tend to keep cashing in tickets. He is creeping up in the weights but doubt that halts his winning streak.

Circuit Bets
El Divino (Randwick Race 1, No.3)
It shapes to be a big day for broodmare Vegas Showgirl. This two-year-old is a half to Winx and didn’t let down his older sister at Gosford on debut belting his six rivals and running good time on a heavy track. He’s a horse still with tremendous upside. The market has Astern rated as the danger but he went horribly in the Golden Slipper and has drawn to spend plenty of early petrol from the wide gate with plenty of speed drawn inside him.

Clearly Innocent (Randwick Race 4, No.3)
Has panels on this field ability-wise. We’ll just need a good steer from Tommy Berry given he has drawn the fence. His best form is when he is able to rip down the outside with plenty of room.His last three wins have been that of a horse much better than a Country Championship winner. He’s destined for Group races. The reason he’s not odds-on is the draw. So take the overs and put your faith in the jockey…

A Lotta Love (Mornington Race 2, No.3)
The Wolf has plenty of time for this mare and is prepared to forgive her first-up run behind the airbourne French Emotion. She raced tight on the fence and obviously resented it as she didn’t quicken. There’s less depth in this field. Last campaign she took the scalp of Estaminet over 1200m which reads well for a race like this. Drawn to get the right run and the claim helps relieve the big weight.

Quaddie
Randwick
1,4 / 14,15 / 1,3 / 2,5,6,10.

Mornington
1,3,7 / 2,6,7,15,16 / 1,4 / 9,10,11.

Bolter
Good Standing (Randwick Race 6, No.2)
Deep edition of the G1 Sires Produce Stakes this year which means you’re getting a price about some highly talented two-year-olds. One of those is Good Standing. Be very forgiving of his Golden Slipper run as he got back in the ruck and didn’t look comfortable. Expect Hugh Bowman to take him to the front from the wide gate here and with little speed on paper, he’ll give his rivals something to chase. Desperate for the 1400m and can turn the tables on his defeat on debut to Yankee Rose.

Feature Racing
Doncaster Mile (Randwick)
Winx to win but just as confident about who’ll run second. Doncaster Runner By Runner Guide.

TJ Smith Stakes (Randwick)
Tipping the three-year-olds to dominate. TJ Runner By Runner Guide.

ATC Derby (Randwick)
It’s hard to mount much of a case against Tarzino. He was dominant in the Rosehill Guineas and still looked to have improvement to come. None of those that finihsed behind him there can turn the tables. Tally has won four straight this campaign and looks the logical danger. They’ve met before in the Vase and Tarzino had his measure by 2L but Tally is a much improved horse since then. Still with Tarzino. Kiwi raider Tavago the value for multiples after a big NZ Derby run.

Mornington Cup (Mornington)
Think we’ll see Tom Melbourne lining up in the Caulfield Cup later this year. This race of course carries exemption. He has trounced his rivals both starts this campaign, including Divan first-up who is no walker. Was wayward in the Albury Cup but still won by a space. Just half a kilo above the minimum he looks the winner.Puccini gets the blinkers first time and is out to this trip for the first time since DK Weir took over. Respect him.

 

 

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