Wolf’s Racing Guide – Tips 01/010/16

Horse Racing betting

They don’t come much bigger than Epsom Day at Randwick. Here is The Wolf’s bet sheet including tips for the Epsom, Metrop and Flight Stakes. He also has two best bets for Caulfield.

Wolf’s Best

Calabasas (Randwick Race 4, No.1)
Calabasas can handle the jump in class and in trip says The Wolf. This three-year-old has run three seconds this campaign but there has been plenty of merit in each of them. Ran into the flying Super Two fresh before being beaten by the wet track at Wyong. He then began slowly and settled last in a real sit-sprint affair at Newcastle. It was a monster run to get as close as he did to Acatour, who on Wednesday trounced his older rivals. Calabasas is a proven weight carrying and maps to dictate this race.
Double Down: There isn’t a great deal of speed on paper so want to see him right up on the pace. Even lead.

Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Circuit Bets

Jorda (Randwick Race 1, No.5)
Out of all the two-year-old trials, The Wolf was most taken by this Exceed And Excel filly in the Godolphin yard. And that’s the boys included. She travelled sweetly before letting down stylishly in the straight. She stopped the clock in deceptively quick time too. Drawn barrier 4, she should drop in behind the first couple in running before J-Mac releases the handbreak to see her boot clear. John O’Shea has won the past two Gimcracks with Calliope and Calaverite.
Double Down: As is always the case with two-year-old debutantes, just want to see her settle.

Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Miss Vista (Caulfield Race 4, No.3)
This mare is a speed machine. She has won two from two and despite he reputation proceeding her (due to her baldy face), she is a very talented animal. She smashed the clock on debut at Ballarat before holding on bravely down the Flemington straight. It’s not easy for a speed horse to win down the straight. She’s much better suited back to a bend and with Ben Allen claiming 2kg, she’ll give her rivals plenty to catch again.
Double Down: Has blistering speed and it’s her best asset. If she finds the front, press the button.

Confidence Level:
4-Chips

Gretna (Caulfield Race 7, No.2)
This Chris Waller-trained filly should have won the Champagne at Moonee Valley last start. She never got a proper crack at her rivals. Prior to that she was flushed right off the track in a forgettable effort. The Wolf has a bit of time for this daughter of Snitzel and although you’re not getting the $31 SP of last start, she is still backable at the price. Drawn to get the right run tucked in behind the speed.
Double Down: Has drawn beautifully here and showed first-up in Sydney that she can take up a position. Want her to box seat. Two pairs back at worst.

Confidence Level:
3-5-Chips

Bolter

Our Boy Malachi (Randwick Race 9, No.2)
He’s not getting any younger but he goes like a rocket fresh (8:7-0-1) so is worth a ticket at the odds on offer in the Premiere Stakes. Has developed a habit of missing the kick by half a length so don’t mind the wide draw as he’ll be able to cruise across in his own time. He’ll have to hold off the likes of Kaepernick, English and Southern Legend but Our Boy Malachi is so hard to chase down when he finds his rhythm out in front.
Double Down: Great opportunity to use the function here as he can be so tardy at the gates. If he jumps clean and controls the race, you know the drill.

1-Chips

Quaddies

Randwick
3,5,6 / 1,2,9,13 / 5,7,11,12 / 2,4,11,12,13.

Caulfield
1,2,8 / 2,3,4,6 / 7,11 / 2,9,10,12,15.

Feature Races

Epsom Handicap (Randwick)
McCreery went enormous at Rosehill last start, spacing his rivals. Chris Waller has won the past three Epsoms (Boban, He’s Your Man, Winx). There’s a real He’s Your Man feel to the preparation of McCreery. The 2000m back to the mile and sneaks in with a low weight. Has hit form at exactly the right time. Hauraki is in career-best form and wasn’t far off Winx in the George Main. that form must be respected. Fabrizio is another in the right kind of form. He was brilliant over the Randwick mile last start. Deserves his shot in this with 50kg.

Metrop (Randwick)
With The Wolf being so keen on McCreery in the Epsom it’s little surprise he fancies Sir John Hawkwood in the Metrop. This eight-year-old ran a closing second to him first-up, giving him 4.5kg. He’ll come on from that and this has been the target all along. Nicely in with 54kg. Sacred Master was a strong winner of the Newcastle Cup which has been a solid form reference for this race in the past. The Verminator 2011 and Glencadam Gold 2012 are the last two to come via that race. Dee I Cee looks the best roughie coming out of the Newcastle Cup too.

Flight Stakes (Randwick)
The scratching of Omei Sword has turned this race on its head. Yankee Rose now finds herself an odds on pop. Favourites have won six of the past eight editions of the Flight Stakes. However, The Wolf is happy to bet around her. She led and boxed on okay in the Golden Rose. Did she do enough to warrant being so short here though? Blinkers come off too. Global Glamour is her own worst enemy but has the talent to turn it around. If she can lead, she’ll win. Respect the tough Skylight Glow and Sezanne who looks likely to relish the mile.

Roman Consul Stakes (Randwick)
Handy bunch of three-year-olds but if Astern picks up where he left off in the Golden Rose, they won’t be beating him. Had a minor setback which has moved the goal posts from the Guineas to the Coolmore. All reports are that he is nice and fresh and ready to explode again. Betting will tell the story late but unless he is a drastic drifter, doubt they’ll beat him. Capitalist clearly didn’t appreciate the wet ground first-up. Still doubt he can turn it around enough to roll Astern. Throw in Flash Fibian for second. Shouldn’t be so long on the strength of his Heritage run.

 

 

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