The Wolf has analysed the three Black Type Events at Ipswich & also the Group 3 Hyperion Stakes at Belmont! Last week’s Group 1 Racing Guide found Santa Ana Lane at $15!
|Ipswich Race 7||Selections|
|Ipswich Cup||Best: Ecuador to WIN ($5.50)
Value: Tumultuous EACH WAY ($11/$2.65)
Exotic: Box Trifecta 1, 2, 4, 5 ($20 for 83.33%)
Ecuador (1) will make his own luck in front and with a soft lead he can give them something to run down. He does arguably his best racing over 10-11 furlongs and should be fit enough to win this with five runs under his belt already. Tegan Harrison takes the reins which is a bonus, she regularly gets rides for Gai Waterhouse and this tells The Wolf that he is ready to win. Hard to fault Tradesman (2) who off his last start second placing behind Egg Tart should be competitive once again. The 2150m suits and he should be fit enough to be in the finish. Only issue is whether he will be able to reel in Ecuador, which at times can be a very hard task. Tumultuous (4) has been somewhat out of form his last four runs finishing near the rear of the field in each of them. In his favour however is that his best form would suggest he can be competitive here and at the price he remains a big watch. Corey Brown makes the trek up to Ipswich to ride indicating to The Wolf that Chris Waller feels this gelding can win and the drop in class for this suits. My Giuliano (5) slots in for fourth in this. He won twice over 2200m at Doomben last prep and if he brings that form here he’ll be competitive. He’s third up from the break and should be set to peak for this.
Eye Liner Stakes
|Ipswich Race 8||Selections|
|Eye Liner Stakes||Best: I’m A Rippa to WIN ($2.40)
Value: Coolring EACH WAY ($21/$5.25)
Exotic: Box Trifecta 2, 7, 11, 12 ($20 for 83.33%)
I’m A Rippa (7) has run very well in his last two in both the Group 3 BRC Sprint and also the Listed Spear Chief at Caloundra. He’s nearing a win off those two runs having only been beaten by under half a length in each of them. He’ll sit on the speed from the inside draw and give himself every chance to score from there. The 1350m suits and he can win this. Coolring (12) won well two starts ago in the Wagga Town Plate and although he was well beaten last start, he can measure up once again here. His best should be very competitive in this and if he can bounce back from his last start failure he’ll go close. He’s value at the current 20-1 quote and the early support for him suggests to The Wolf that he has a few admirers. Tyzone (11) has measured up to metro-racing with ease and has shown in his last two starts that he is capable of measuring up to the best. Query here is the 1350m, but off his last two starts it does appear well within his capabilities. Lloyd on in a plus and from the draw he should be right in the finish. Religify (2) maps to lead and should be doing exactly that from the draw. Last prep he placed second twice but before that he is no stranger to success in QLD, having won three from six in the Sunshine State.
Gai Waterhouse Classic
|Ipswich Race 9||Selections|
|Gai Waterhouse Classic||Best: Plucky Girl to WIN ($4.40)
Value: Crystal Fountain EACH WAY ($16/$4.75)
Exotic: Box Trifecta 1, 2, 8, 9 ($20 for 83.33%)
Hard to go past Plucky Girl (2) in this. She’s won her last four races in a row and if she runs up to either of those performances here she’ll take running down. She’s won her last three races by a combined 9.1 lengths and is currently in the best form of her career. Jeff Lloyd takes the reins and from the draw she expected to settle midfield before peeling out to put a margin on them. Crystal Fountain (8) ran a cracker of a race two starts back at Doomben and off that run looks ready to win. The Wolf suspects it’ll pay to forgive her last start as she began awkwardly and found herself wide and doing far too much work in the run. The step up in distance suits and if Byrne can settle her close to the speed she’ll go very close. Tumbler (1) was Listed placed last start after a 10 month break and although she was beaten, she found herself in the worst part of the track but continuing to make ground throughout. She’ll be better for the run and back on the dry deck should ensure she gets every chance to score. She’s won 7/11 and should be included the exotics. Platinum Angel (9) placed in the Group 2 Moreton Cup last start and should enjoy the drop in grade here. She’s hard to fault but from the wide draw The Wolf is expecting her to do a stack of work in the run which in turn are expected to hinder her chances.
|Belmont Race 6||Selections|
|Hyperion Stakes||Best: Material Man to WIN
Value: Great Shot to WIN
Exotic: Box Trifecta 1, 2, 3, 4 ($20 for 83.33%)
Material Man (3) won with ease last start over 1400m and should be much improved stepping out to the mile. He was dominant that day and hardly appeared to even break a sweat. His second up stats read well for this and with Lucy Warwick engaged he is expected to make his presence felt. Great Shot (2) who won last year’s Railway Stakes slots in for second, expect he’ll lead and make his own luck from there. Staples retains the ride and from the draw should be in the finish. He’s third up for this which is when he does his best racing and The Wolf is expecting that from him here. Pounamu (1) placed behind Material Man last start over 1400m and off that run looks set to be competitive once again. He’s better second up and if he brings his Kingston Town form here he’ll be in the finish. Gatting (4) is the best of the rest, he’ll run his usual consistent race and find himself somewhere outside of the placings.