Sir Rupert Clarke – Runner By Runner

Horse betting

The Wolf’s runner by runner guide on the Group One Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes at Caulfield.

Under The Louvre ($8)
Has done his usual thing in both starts this preparation. Get back to near last and run the fastest sectionals home without really threatening the winner. He has been set another monster task here with 58kg and barrier 14. He’d need Jungle Edge to really carve out some fast early splits to figure. Beat Black Heart Bart the last time he tackled 1400m but he pays for that at the weights here. As is always the case with this horse, best look to others.

Xtravagant ($10)
Impossible to come into this boom Kiwi on what we’ve seen of him in Australia. Some New Zealand raiders grow a leg over here but the same can’t be said for this four-year-old. At his best, he is more than capable of winning a race like this but you’d have to be very forgiving to chime in at $10. Went horrible in the Bobbie Lewis and they couldn’t find anything wrong with him.

Rangipo ($51)
Always respect the New Zealand stayers. This gelding has some pretty solid form over shorter trips but expect him to want longer before figuring in the finish. gets blinkers first time but has drawn off the track so expect him to be ridden quite and find the line late. The Wolf has plenty of time for him but this isn’t his race, as the market also suggests.

Fast ‘n’ Rocking ($26)
File him under the Under The Louvre category. Has the talent to win a race like this but his racing style lends itself to more hard luck stories than wins. Drawn barrier 2, he is going to have plenty of rump in front of him turning for home. Impossible to catch so best steer clear again. Exotics only.

Charmed Harmony ($51)
Hasn’t fired a shot this preparation. Could forgive his Bletchingly failure as he was posted in no man’s land but his Memsie flop was equally plain. He was too keen in the run and only battled from the 200m. Can’t imagine John Sadler would have been too pleased to see Jungle Edge in the race as he’ll make a big pest of himself.

Counterattack ($3.60)
The Wolf is excited about this four-year-old’s prospects over the spring. He was a good thing beaten in the Theo Marks first-up behind his stablemate Mackintosh after Hugh Bowman couldn’t find a clear path. His two trials prior to that were outstanding. The one knock most have on him is that he has failed at the very top level in the past. Looks to have furnished into the real deal now. Shouldn’t be too far away from the middle draw and any rain only enhances his chances.

Voodoo Lad ($5.50)
Has been a revelation since joining Darren Weir. Has won three of his past five starts and both misses were down the straight where he simply doesn’t settle. It’s amazing how DK Weir can get new peaks out of horses so deep into their campaigns. That was again the case at Moonee Valley last start. Our Voodoo Lad bungled the start before unleashing a huge finish down the middle of the track to beat Keen Array, who has since franked the form. Massive player with 54kg. Weir has won the last two editions of this race too (Trust In A Gust and Stratum Star).

Tivaci ($11)
Dangerous runner with 52kg after an encouraging return. The Mike Moroney stable can be hard to catch but pay particular respect to any market moves closer to race start. Drawn an inside gate, he should be cuddled up for the last shot at them. Gets 2kg off Counterattack for when they met in the Fred Best Classic, although he was no match for him on that occasion.

Badawiya ($34)
Plummets in weight from 59kg first-up to 52kg but The Wolf was disappointed with her effort against the mares in the Let’s Elope. Strips fitter for that outing but need to be convinced that she has come up this spring before backing her again.

Bon Aurum ($6.50)
There’s a sense of timing about this son of Bon Hoffa. He was a dominant winner over Ulmann at Flemington last start and Ciaron Maher has seized the opportunity to throw him into the deep end.

Thames Court ($21)
Has been the beneficiary of two very slowly run races to kick off her spring and fought out the finish in both. She is set to peak third-up and should be able to hold a forward spot from the inside draw. Corey Brown returns for the ride. She’s yet to prove herself at this level and now has to face up to the boys too, having tackled mares and fillies grade exclusively recently. Goes into wider exotics.

Telopea ($31)
She’s an honest mare but looks out of her depth in a Group One handicap. If she was trained by anyone other than Darren Weir you’d put a pen through her.

Well Sprung ($34)
Ran a huge race to miss by a nostril at Caulfield last week. Keen Array got the verdict and that form ties in with Our Voodoo Lad. As does his form the start prior. Still, this mission seems rather ambitious.

Jungle Edge ($61)
Unlikely to figure in the finish but he’s an important runner for the speed map, especially with the scratching of Charmed Harmony. Has plenty of early speed so should be able to scoot across from the wide gate.

Mr Individual ($31)
Suspect this enigmatic four-year-old will be a very sneaky race at odds. He loves Caulfield (5:2-1-0) and 1400m is probably his pet trip. Has become accustomed to lumping big weights so won’t know himself down on 52kg. He’s drawn nicely and has the tactical speed to hold a spot. Best roughie.

 

The Wolf’s Top 5

1. Counterattack
2. Our Voodoo Lad
3. Mr Individual
4. Tivaci
5. Bon Aurum

Odds as of 11am Thursday, September 22.

Bet on the latest Sir Rupert Clarke market.

 

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