Race 4 – Australian Steeplechase (3400m)
Gold Medals has been installed as the $2.35 favourite at time of publication and The Wolf thinks he is far too short. It is a massive ask to come back from winning twice in three days at the Warrnambool carnival over a total of almost 9000m. In his favour is the fact that both runs were on relatively firm tracks so might not have taken as much out of him, but it is still too big a risk. The form line to go with is the BM120 Steeplechase out of the same carnival, where The Dominator beat home King Kamada. Both are lightly raced, promising steeplechasers on the way up. The Dominator gets a nice weight swing despite having beaten home King Kamada in that race, so he looks like the one to beat again.
Recommended Bet: No.6 The Dominator
Race 5 – Australian Hurdle (3400m)
Self Sense looked like a future star when making his hurdling debut back in April, and trainer David Brideoake will likely reap the rewards here of having missed the Warrnambool Carnival. Since his jumping debut he has won a $250K race at Caulfield before placing second in the Wagga Gold Cup, so the horse is absolutely flying. This race is no gimme though, with Two Hats coming off a great Galleywood Hurdle win, while Ancient King and Dane Hussler are far better than what they showed in that race. Realistically, Self Sense should have too much class for them though.
Recommended Bet: No.7 Self Sense