Randwick Guineas – Runner By Runner

The Wolf’s Runner by Runner guide to The 2018 Randwick Guineas run over 1600m at Randwick this Saturday. The race is steeped in history and has been won by champions such as It’s A Dundeel, Hallowed Crown, Le Romain & most recently by Inference. Here are The Wolf’s thoughts on the 2018 Randwick Guineas.

2018 Newmarket Handicap Flemington Race 
Best Bet D’argento to WIN ($5.00)
Best Value Kaonic EACH WAY ($21/$5)
Quinella 3, 10, 12 ($20 for 666.67%)
First 4 2, 3, 7, 10, 12 ($40 for 33.33%)
2018 Randwick Guineas

1. Ace High ($14)
Barrier: 2

Trainer: David Payne

Jockey: Tye Angland

Reigning Victorian Derby winner who is having his third run back. He finished off well in the G2 Hobartville Stakes last prep for fifth and should be even better stepping out to the mile. Against him however is that a few others in this will have his measure over 1600m. The Wolf is happy to wait until he lines up in the Australian Derby over 2400m, a much preferred distance for him.

2. Trapeze Artist ($8.50)
Barrier: 10

Trainer: Gerald Ryan

Jockey: Tim Clark

G1 Golden Rose winner who is yet to record a start over the mile. He’s arguably better over 1400m as his form suggests and The Wolf is keen to oppose him here stepping out to the unknown. He’s has honest as they come but The Wolf doubts he will be winning, especially off his last start run. Top five chance at best.

3. Kementari ($2.70)
Barrier: 4

Trainer: James Cummings

Jockey: Glyn Schofield

Kementari placed in the G1 Caulfield Guineas last prep and should he run up to that performance here he’ll take beating. He’s won both of his lead up runs into this and should be set to peak third up over the mile. Only query is whether he will be able to see out the mile strong, but having placed in G1 level over this distance it should be no problem.

4. Age Of Fire ($19)
Barrier: 13

Trainer: Stephen Autridge & Jamie Richards

Jockey: Jason Collett

NZ import who won the G1 Levin Classic at Trentham a few starts back. He looks a talent on the rise but The Wolf has queries around the strength of the races he has come through and on that he has a few ahead of him.

5. Pierata ($6.50)
Barrier: 1

Trainer: Gregory Hickman

Jockey: Corey Brown

Pierata won the Magic Millions 3YO Classic and looked very good chasing home Kementari in the Hobartville last start. He’s yet to win over the mile which is a concern and The Wolf suspects he is better over 1400m.

6. Sully ($41)
Barrier: 11

Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Jockey: Blake Shinn

Sully finished four lengths behind Grunt last start and should be much better second up. He’s won over the mile previously in his career however this was against a rather weak field at Bendigo so it’s not the best guide to go off. The Wolf is prepared to wait and see if heads towards the Australian Derby as his placing in the Victorian Derby suggests he is better over further.

7. Peaceful State ($8.50)
Barrier: 9

Trainer: Darren Weir

Jockey: Brad Rawiller

Peaceful State is backing up from a competitive second placing in the Australian Guineas behind Grunt last start. Whether he handles the quick back up will depend on his chances, he’s well in this if he brings his best and should be in the finish. Trust Darren Weir to have him ready for this.

8. Tangled ($71)
Barrier: 6

Trainer: Chris Waller

Jockey: Jay Ford

Tangled  finished two lengths behind Cellarman last start and should be much improved second up stepping up to the mile. Against him however is that he is a serial non-winner and he has done his best racing at 2000m and beyond. Not here.

9. Capital Gain ($151)
Barrier: 3

Trainer: Paul Butterworth

Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus

Capital Gain is 1/1 over the mile in Group 1 races and if you go off that form he looks hard to beat. Against him is the fact that he has appeared to struggle this prep, he’s not making up ground like he did he last campaign. The Wolf is expecting an improved run stepping out to the mile but he doubts it will be good enough to win.

10. D’argento ($5)
Barrier: 14

Trainer: Chris Waller

Jockey: Hugh Bowman

D’argento closed off very well last start and should inhale every metre of the mile on offer here. Hugh Bowman stays on indicating to The Wolf that he is Chris Waller’s best chance and The Wolf is expecting him to be going very close here stepping up to the mile.

11. Siege Of Quebec ($31)
Barrier: 8

Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Jockey: Christian Reith

Very poor last start in the Hobartville and if he wants to be winning here he’ll have needed to improved off that run sharply. He’s better over the sprint distances of 1000m – 12000m.

12. Kaonic ($20)
Barrier: 5

Trainer: Chris Waller

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Kaonic is a miler and with two runs under his belt already this prep he should be ready to peak. He’s 2/2 over the distance and 1/1 over this course and distance, indicating to The Wolf that he’s ready to run a big race. The blinkers have been applied which should sharpen him up and if he gets the speed as The Wolf is predicting then he should be able to get every chance to run on. He’s a legitimate winning chance this horse and The Wolf is keen to be on him at an each way basis.

13. Condor ($91)
Barrier: 7

Trainer: Paul Perry

Jockey: Joshua Parr

Placed in a weak form race last start behind All Too Soon over 1800m. He’s previously been well beaten by both D’argento & Siege Of Quebec. Not here.

14. Tangmere ($61)
Barrier: 12

Trainer: Chris Waller

Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy

Lightly raced son of Frankel who comes through a weak race at Canterbury. He won’t be good enough to win this.

The Wolf’s Top 5

The Wolf is keen to side with D’argento who should relish the step up to 1600m ahead of Kaonic who with the blinkers on should run an improved race.

1 – D’argento
2 – Kaonic
3 – Kementari
4 – Peaceful State
5 – Trapeze Artist

Bet on the latest 2018 Randwick Guineas market here.