The Wolf’s runner by runner guide on the Group One Makybe Diva Stakes at Flemington.
Prince Of Penzance ($51)
Missed the jump slightly ion the Memsie and was dug out to take up a spot just worse than midfield. Didn’t finish off after that. He’ll be ridden cold here and to find the line late. Not a winning hope but should be able to get his campaign to defend his Melbourne Cup back on track.
Happy Trails ($34)
Happy is back for yet another spring. This warhorse is now nine but his trials have suggested the desire is still there. The speed he once had is no longer though. The older he gets the longer he takes to work himself into peak fitness too. Just watch him go around here.
Black Heart Bart ($2.35)
Was a dominant winner of the Memsie Stakes on the back of a perfect Brad Rawiller ride. Loses his services here but picks up Damien Oliver. The mile is no issue and The Wolf expects him to win again. That’d make it three Group One wins in his past four starts – with the miss a narrow second in the Straddie giving away a stack of weight. He’s a genuine star.
Our Ivanhowe ($11)
The Wolf is expecting big things from this stayer over the spring. Took his time to settle into his new Australian life but his Doomben Cup win over Hauraki, who won first-up last Saturday, was enormous. Loved his most recent Flemington jumpout too. Suspect this seven-year-old is in a very good place right now. Will have his work cut out beating Bart but don’t discount him. Should’ve won first-up over the spring.
Jacquinot Bay ($23)
No matter the grade of race, this veteran will put in for you. Not dissimilar to stablemate Extra Zero. He was suited by the brutal pace set by The Cleaner in the PB Lawrence two back before having no luck in the Feehan last week won by Awesome Rock. Doesn’t have the brilliance to win but you’d be crazy to leave him out of any exotics.
Entirely Platinum ($14)
Five of his six career wins have been first or second-up so fair to say that he doesn’t his best work fresh. That was again evidenced by his third in the Memsie. Still has won fresh run left being second-up here so if he’s going to pinch a Group One, it’ll be here. Has been just below this level in the past though.
He Or She ($19)
Ran the second best late splits in the Memsie Stakes (only bettered by Tarzino). The problem though is his lack of tractability. He got a long way out of his ground in the Doncaster at the back end of the autumn and produced a similar effort first-up. If he can take up a spot he can win a race like this. But until The Wolf sees that, he’s happy to risk him.
Alpine Eagle ($13)
Just did enough in the Memsie to tempt punters to stick with him. Highly spruiked horse that has yet to deliver on his hype. Just plugged away first-up giving the impression he is a genuine mile and a half horse these days. Doesn’t have the turn of foot to beat the likes of Bart over the mile.
As mentioned earlier, had the fastest last 200m in the Memsie Stakes. It was a great return for a horse being set on a Cups campaign. Chased all the way to the line there despite being hopelessly outpaced earlier. He’ll gradually start closing the margin as he rises in trip but hard to see him winning over the mile. Wait for 2000m and beyond.
The Wolf liked the way he chased in the Memsie Stakes and third-up out to the mile, he looks ready to show his best. The question is whether his best is good enough for an Open WFA Group One. Drawn well though and tackles the same track and trip he won an Australian Guineas over, beating Tarzino. Place hope but short enough at $7.50.
Ayers Rock ($151)
What is Ayers Rock doing here? Has a Flemington win to his name (beating Tivaci) but his middling run at Cranbourne first-up is hardly inspiring. Should at least ensure the race is genuinely run.
Rising Romance ($8)
Black Heart Bart had her covered in the Memsie but she was a brave second. The Wolf sounds like a broken record when previewing her chances in races but she’s best avoided as a punting conveyance. She is unreliable and doesn’t make a habit of winning. Hard in the market and has to be considered a chance of running another placing. Nothing more though/
Sofia Rosa ($23)
Did enough late in the Memsie to suggest he spring campaign is on track but she won’t get warm until she gets out over the staying trips. Doubt she is a factor over the mile here.
The Wolf’s Top 5
1. Black Heart Bart
2. Our Ivanhowe
3. Rising Romance
5. Entirely Platinum
Odds as of 11am Thursday, September 8.
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