The Wolf’s runner by runner guide to the Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes to be run at Flemington this Saturday.
The race is held over 1600m and it is usually a very good guide going in to the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup.
Here are The Wolf’s thoughts on the 2017 Makybe Diva Stakes.
Dominant winner of the P.B Lawrence Stakes who looks well placed to take home his third career Group 1 win. Admittedly he is better over 2000m and beyond, however his win in the Chelmsford Stakes over a mile last year by almost eight lengths was simply outstanding. He’s been Godolphin’s top galloper for a number of years now and his multiple placings behind Winx read very well for this. The Wolf is confident his class will rise to the top here and if he brings his best, should prove very hard to run down.
Five time Group 1 winner who has most recently placed second behind Vega Magic in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes. Prior to this he finished second behind Hartnell in the P.B Lawrence Stakes and whilst he appeared to find his old form last start, it’s hard to see how he is expected to turn the tables on Hartnell here. He’ll be fitter for the run and The Wolf expects his 100% place record over this course and distance to remain intact. Place chance.
Group 1 winner over this course and distance who finished off strongly last start in the Memsie Stakes for fifth. The winner was far too good that day, leading from the get go and proving impossible to reel in. He’s consistent but his most recent performances over 1400m and beyond have been very average and if he wants to beat Hartnell & co he’ll need to step up.
Australian Derby winner who does his best racing at 2000m and beyond. His main target is the Caulfield Cup so expect this will be one of many lead up runs before his grand final where he is currently rated a $51 chance.
French import who won the Group 1 Mackinnnon Stakes two years ago, before being shipped back to France and losing form. He’s since returned to Australia and had two starts for his new trainer; Darren Weir, where he finished down the track in the P.B Lawrence Stakes before winning the Listed Penny Edition at Morphettville. Whilst he beat a relatively weak field that day, he’s found form and must be respected off that win, especially from a stable like Darren Weir. He’ll enjoy the rise in distance and if he brings his best form he looks a legitimate threat. One for the exotics.
Group 1 Australian Cup winner who appears to have his sights set on a Caulfield Cup. He’s been beaten a combined margin of 10.5 lengths his last two starts and if he is wanting to be competitive here he’ll need to improve sharply. Happy to risk until he steps out over 2000m and beyond.
Irish import who has had two starts in Australia and is yet to place. He’s a Group 1 winner over 2400m so expect this to be one of many lead up runs prior to the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups; where he is currently rated a $41 and $31 shot respectively. He’ll be better over further, happy to risk.
Kiwi import who is already a dual Group 1 winner in Australia. He impressed first up in the Memsie Stakes to finish a game sixth. He’s another who is using this as a lead up run into the Caulfield Cup where he is one of the leading chances.
Australian Guineas winner who should relish the step up here to the mile. He beat a hot field that day and a repeat of that performance here and he’ll go very close. He’s beaten some talented gallopers over his career including Prized Icon, Divine Prophet and Attention. He’s won 2/3 when third up and if that stat is anything to go by, he’ll be putting in another big performance here. He’ll run a big race but The Wolf is confident he struggle to get past Hartnell, who is the far superior weight for age horse.
Randwick Guineas winner who put in a very plain performance first up in the Warwick Stakes. He’s since trialled well alongside Chautauqua so expect a much improved run here, but whether he is fit enough to win The Wolf highly doubts.
Beaten 10 lengths last start in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes which is nowhere near good enough to be winning here. He’s been horribly out of form since his Mackinnon placing and The Wolf doesn’t see that changing here.
She resumed to finish second last in the Memsie Stakes first up. She’s another who will be better over further. Wait for her in the Caulfield Cup, which appears to be her main goal where she is rated a $101 chance.
The Wolf’s Speed Map
Where he predicts the runners will settle after leaving the barriers.
The Wolf’s Top 5
This is as a very competitive Group 1 race with many winning chances. Nonetheless The Wolf is confident in his selections.
1 – Hartnell
2 – Black Heart Bart
3 – Le Romain
4 – Hey Doc
5 – Gailo Chop
Bet on the latest Makybe Diva Stakes market here.
More Racing and Sports Tips
Odds correct as of 3.00pm, Wednesday 13 September.