Libran (Rosehill Race 2, No.4)
Libran is the horse to beat in the Manion Cup. This five-year-old stayer added to his terrific record of six wins from 16 starts at his latest outing holding off Allergic. Although the margin was narrow he was the only runner you wanted to be on 300m from home and Brenton Avdulla took the foot off the gas fairly early. Tipping he really bounces off that win. He’ll relish the 2400m and a wet track only enhances his claims. When it comes to getting stayers to peak, there’s none better than Chris Waller.
Counterattack (Rosehill Race 3, No.2)
One of the deepest three-year-old races you’ll ever find! It’s an outstanding field but that just means better odds if you fancy one, and The Wolf does. Counterattack dumped the jockey before the Newmarket but prior to that he’d been heavily supported into $8. You’re getting $6 about him in this race now. Was in the wrong part of the track first-up so forgive him that and the Le Romain form looks good now. Give him an extra big tick for the likely wet track too (he’s a half to Red Tracer).
Rosehill (Races 6-9)
1,3,7 / 1,2,4,8 / 2,10,13,14,16 / 1,4,5.
1,2 / 1,2,3,7 /2,3,8,12 / 3,4,8.
Storm The Stars (Rosehill Race 4, No.7)
The Wolf saw enough from this star import in the Chipping Norton first-up to be with him in the Ranvet Stakes. This four-year-old is one of the best performed horses ever shipped to Australia with form around the likes of Golden Horn and Jack Hobbs. Hugh Bowman goes on for this start which is another big flag. Reliable Man ran a very similar race on his Aussie debut for Chris Waller then exploded at his next outing. Don’t be surprised if Storm The Stars does the same.
George Ryder Stakes (Rosehill)
Is Winx too good again? In short, yes. She’s chasing eight straight and it the undisputed best horse in the country. The market has stablemate Press Statement as the danger. Not sure about that only getting 1kg off the star mare. Turn Me Loose is a high quality galloper and got the job done nicely in the Orr Stakes but he’d need to find a new level to match motors with Winx. If you can get $1.70+ Winx take it. Otherwise play the quinellas with Turn me Loose and Kermadec, who’ll improve lengths second-up and on a wet track.
Rosehill Guineas (Rosehill)
Tarzino is a deserved favourite on the strength of his Derby demolition in the spring and his form this preparation. Just missed in the Guineas (on the track and in the stewards room). Has won on the wet before too. At around the $2.50 mark he is backable. For the wider exotics don’t leave out River Wild and Vanbrugh, who was luckless in the Australian Guineas and gets the services of Hugh Bowman now. The Wolf is confident that the Australian Guineas is the right form line. That has Jameka in the mix too but she’s short enough and has drawn awkwardly.
Have nailed it down five for the quaddie – Terravista, Bounding, Fell Swoop and English. Throw in Griante now she’s snuck into the field too. Terravista is the class runner and it might look a blessing that he missed the Newmarket if he was to take this out. Drawn to get every possible with Bowman on board. Fell Swoop was very unlucky not to win the Oakleigh Plate so he looks thrown in with 52.5kg. The Wolf underestimated him and won’t be making the same mistake twice. English will spot the field a huge start from the barrier but she’s flying. Then there’s Bounding who was too a touch flat in the Oakleigh Plate but she fizzed up prior. Will love getting her toe into the ground too. At the odds, Terra on top.