The Wolf’s race by race preview of Hong Kong Sprint Day on Sunday.
Four of these runners made their debut in the same race three weeks ago that Look Eras won easily, he should have them covered again, while none of the first starters have done anything breathtaking at the trials, although Strathclyde was a $300,000 yearling by Toorak Toff who must be an impressive type to have fetched that sort of money and he has trialled ok. Look Eras won‘t be much of a price but looks the winner.
The Magic Man, Joao Moreira can get on the board in this low grade middle distance affair with King Bountiful. He was a winner two starts back at Happy Valley over 2200m, then last time at Sha Tin ran on well to finish fourth over a mile. He will be suited by the extra distance here and there is no better combination to be with in Hong Kong than Moreira and John Size.
Looking for some value here in the form of Packing Pegasus. His first Hong Kong race saw him very well backed to go round a $4.20 chance, but he went forward on a hot tempo and dropped out disappointingly. He has trialled very well since, and being by Savabeel, the 1400m of today’s race is likely to be more suitable than the 1000m he ran over on debut. It’s an open race but he should represent good value.
The rise of female apprentice jockey Kei Chiong has been a great story in Hong Kong racing of late and she can get on the board here with Supreme Profit. He was caught a little wide last start and didn’t finish off as well as he can, but that was under a big weight and he is much better in today thanks to the claim for Chiong, and should get all the favours in the run from barrier five.
Molly’s Jade Star finally broke through for his first win at his twelfth race start last time at Sha Tin and with that confidence boost under his belt he can go on with it here. Prior to that he had run five consecutive seconds, in some very good form races, so he can be expected to go on with it now the maiden is out of the way.
Back in the Moreira camp in this race with Smiling Glory, who looks like one of the better bets on the card. Both career runs over 1000m have been excellent, but it looks like the 1200m will suit much better after he hit the line very strongly last start. The slight concern is the wide barrier, but that is why Joao is paid the big bucks.
As great a horse as Buffering is, if Chautauqua brings his best form, he will win. There should be plenty of speed in the race, and although he has been beaten at short prices in two of his last four starts, that has been at Flemington over 1200m which seems, for who knows what reason, to be his Kryptonite. This is a pretty weak renewal of the race and nothing in this field is capable of beating him at his best. The currently price of $2.20 is about right, but you should get even better on the day taking the tote odds.
Chautauqau isn’t even the best horse running at the meeting – that honour belongs to the Japanese miler Maurice. He came to the international meeting in December and made Able Friend look second rate, there is no Able Friend here, and the tomato sauce odds on this occasion are well justified.
Like the chances of Apollo’s Choice in this deep race. Last start he was sent round favourite in a Group 3 race but bombed the start before finishing off well. He is drawn perfectly and with a good start and Brett Prebble up, he can go close.
It was impossible not to be impressed by the last start win of Joyful Moments and he can get the job done again here. He races right up on the speed and gives himself every chance, and the comfortable – more than two lengths – winning margin of his last start suggest the four year old can progress further through the grades.
The Magic Man looks well placed to take out the last race on Momentum Lucky. The three year old son of Commands boasts an impressive two wins from four starts to date, despite having run in some strong form races. He should go forward from barrier 10 and be afforded every chance, the main danger looks to be Healthy Joyful with the claim for Kei Chiong but Momentum Lucky has more upside at this stage of his career.