Golden Rose – Runner By Runner

Horse betting

The Wolf’s runner by runner guide on the Group One Golden Rose at Rosehill.

Astern ($4)
Has only lost one from five and that was a forgettable Golden Slipper run from a wide gate. Returned with a high-rating Run To The Rose win where he and Star Turn gapped third. That looks the superior form race and history says as much too having provided the last four Golden Rose winners. Godolphin are firing at the right time of year and with any luck from the wide draw, The Wolf has him pegged at the horse to beat.

El Divino ($14)
Has near four lengths to make up on Astern from the Run To The Rose. He was ridden aggressively and despite looking like he was going to drop out half way down the straight he kept finding the line to hold fourth. Gave the impression he wants a mile and The Wolf hasn’t given up on him as a Caulfield Guineas hopeful. Out to 1400m and on drier ground are in his favour. Hard to see him turning the tables on Astern but expect him to close the gap.

Good Standing ($51)
Have been desperate to see the blinkers go on this Artie Schiller colt. He wasn’t given any chance by the Glyn Schofield steer in the Run To The Rose but liked the way he warmed up across the line. In his career to date, he has been most effective when up on the pace. Hopefully the shades fire him up enough to settle handy. He’ll be a big improver at odds.

Divine Prophet ($4.60)
Produced a visually outstanding win in the Up And Coming but The Wolf has doubts over the form line. Can loosely tie the form together via Thronum who ran third there to Mediterranean who ran a sound fifth in the Run To The Rose. Of all the runners hard in the market, he’s the one The Wolf is keenest to bet around. Expect him to drift from $4.60.

Nikitas ($61)
Stepped out for Chris Waller for the first time in the Run To The Rose and The Wolf liked what he saw. He didn’t do much at the trials prior so expectations were reasonably low. This was further evidenced by his $51 starting price. He’ll appreciate the extra 200m and could figure in the placings at odds.

Thronum ($41)
He’s a tough, brave on pacer. Typical of the Waterhouse yard. However, he is starting to reach his level now. He’ll push on from the wide gate to take up the running but that Up And Coming form looks soft. As far as The Wolf is concerned, his most important role is helping Astern slot into the running given they’ve both drawn out.

Impending ($11)
Found the line nicely in the Run To The Rose to run third. Has always given the impression he’d come into his own out to 1400m and a mile so excited about what he can show here. Interesting to note that he has Divine Prophet covered in a trial before kicking off his preparation. Yes, it was a trial but still worth mentioning. Has to be a player.

Derryn ($13)
Another coming out of the Up And Coming race. Racing outside of the leader looked to dull his closing speed so expect him to be ridden midfield from the good draw. You’ve read enough of this preview now to realise that The Wolf is a knock on his form line. He’ll run an honest race.

Mediterranean ($26)
After a booming win at Canterbury fresh, nothing much has gone right for this Smart Missile colt. He was unlucky not to beat Thronum in the Rosebud on a very heavy track before boxing away in the Run To The Rose, finishing fifth. Have been desperate to see him out to 1400m. And gets the winkers on first time. Respect the Snowden’s ability to get a horse to peak on the big day. Best roughie.

Oink ($101)
The rise to 1400m is in his favour but he looks hopelessly outclassed. Deserves to be triple figure odds.

Chamula ($126)
Wiley trainer Liam Birchley is shooting for the stars here with Chamula. Won a maiden at the Sunny Coast on debut. Now here he is in a Golden Rose. The Wolf liked the way he won there and he has immeasurable upside but it’s hard to see him winning. Of the three $100+ pops though, he looks the best chance of surprising a few punters.

Yankee Rose ($8.50)
So much has been made of the record of fillies in the Golden Rose. The only winner was Forensics in 2008 when it was run in the autumn due to EI. Take that out and the record of fillies is 32 runners for three placings and no wins. The knives have been out for Yankee Rose over the break with most believing (includng her trainer!) that she hadn’t trained on as a three-year-old. A sharp piece of work in the blinkers has seemed to flip that belief. Still, happy to risk her.

Omei Sword ($3.50)
Your race favourite. After plenty of cat and mouse, Chris Waller decided that this boom filly would take her spot here. She was outstanding first-up in the Silver Shadow and is even better suited out to 1400m. She’s no doubt a star but she is a filly and we know their record in the race. The Magic Man has been flown in to steer but his recent record in Australia, and more specifically Sydney, isn’t great. Second pick to Astern.

O’Reilly Cyrus ($126)
Birchley has also sent this filly down – but who is the travel buddy and who is the stable top pick? The market doesn’t make it clear. Suspect Chamula holds the highest hopes. This well-named daughter of O’Reilly (out of Dancing Mistress) has been sound in her three runs this preparation and although she wants every inch of the 1400m now, she’s a long way off these class-wise.


The Wolf’s Top 5

1. Astern
2. Omei Sword
3. El Divino
4. Impending
5. Mediterranean

Odds as of 11am Thursday, September 8.

Bet on the latest Golden Rose market.

 

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