Forth Worth Invitational: Preview and Tips

Golf Betting

Fort Worth Invitational, Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas

Course

First time winner Aaron Wise lit up the PGA Tour last week with an unbelievably calm head to stave off Marc Leishman. This week, the PGA Tour stays in Texas for the Fort Worth Invitational. The tournament is played at the prestigious Colonial Country Club, one of the oldest courses on tour. Players will be faced with a 7200 yard plus Par-70 that was rated as the 7th most difficult course on Tour last year.

The fairways are tight and tree lined, while the rough is usually of a moderate length. Missing the fairways can be very expensive for golfers here. The greens are some of the smallest on tour and lined by bermuda grass. The weather can play a big part in how difficult the golf course plays. The forecast for this week is relatively benign but The Wolf recommends punters take a close look at tee times and the weather forecast for In-Play betting opportunitues.

Tournament Overview

Kevin Kisner is the defending champion after he shot a -10 for victory last year. Jordan Spieth won it in 2016, Chris Kirk in 2015, Adam Scot in 2014, and Boo Weekley in 2013. There are several players that are carrying some excellent form heading into this tournament. Webb Simpson won the Players Championship and has found the form that made him a major champion, Jordan Spieth is showing signs of getting back to his best, while players like Justin Rose, Jon Rahm, and Rickie Fowler can never be counted out.

Accuracy of the tee will be one of the keys to success this week. Ball strikers who can land it on the fairways consistently, scramble from some difficult positions, and avoid a round in the 70’s will surge up the leaderboard.

Experience will also play it’s part. The small greens can be very tricky meaning anyone that is hot with the putter could gain a significant advantage on the field. The scoring average for birdies and eagles has traditionally been lower at this course than the tour average. Consequently, we will see players pick their spots to attack and hold back in others. Holes 3,4, and 5 are among the more difficult and will attract plenty of attention throughout the weekend.

Stats That Matter

The Wolf is going to be looking at the following stats for this tournament:

– Ball Striking
– Par 4 Scoring
– Strokes Gained: Putting

Predictions

He was disappointing last week with a T21 finish but The Wolf is sticking with Jordan Spieth at $9.00. This could be the right time to back him and we are getting almost double the price on offer a week ago. His ball striking was excellent last week although he did have some issues with the putter. Jordan Spieth also has a formidable record at this course. He finished 2nd here last year, won it in 2016, was 2nd in 2015, and 7th in 2013. Jordan Spieth is on a upward trajectory and The Wolf wants to stay on him as he works towards another tour victory.

Webb Simpson at $19.00 is terrific value this week. This is a huge price for a man who is at the peak of his powers in terms of playing ability and mental strength. The thing that has impressed The Wolf most about his play is his short game – which has improved dramatically. Simpson is 5th for strokes gained putting and 9th for Par 4 scoring. Not the longest of hitters of the tee but that is no concern at a course which places a premium on accuracy.

Another former major champion at a big price this week is Aussie Adam Scott at $29.00. There have been some very encouraging signs over this last few tournaments and ‘Scotty’ is not far off getting all the pieces in place over four rounds. He finished T11 at The Players and was T9 at the Byron Nelson last week. Despite posting his first top 10 finish last week he ranks 2nd on tour for ball striking which is a real indication that he is not far off. He is also a prior winner here which ticks the box for course knowledge. The Wolf is confident that all three of his selections with finish as the top of the leaderboard this week!

Recommended Bets

Tournament Winner

Best: Jordan Spieth ($9.00)
Value: Webb Simpson ($19.00)
Roughie: Adam Scott ($29.00)

Tournament By Country

Top Aussie: Adam Scott ($1.90)
Top European: Justin Rose ($2.75)

72 Hole Match Bets

Big 6 v Field: Big 6 (J.Spieth, J.Rahm, W.Simpson, R.Fowler, P.Cantlay) ($2.55)
Spieth vs Rahm: Jordan Spieth ($ 1.70)
Rose vs Simpson: Webb Simpson ($1.95)
Fowler vs Cantlay: Patrick Cantlay ($1.98)

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