Renegades v Heat: Saturday 7:25pm AEDT at Etihad Stadium
Brisbane Heat will face their second Melbourne franchise in succession as they come up against the Renegades. Both teams started off with wins and are regarded as two of the most dangerous sides in this year’s competition. While Heat seem to be ravaged by injury, the Renegades have no such problems and that could mean a lopsided encounter.
|Thunder v Sixers||Recommended Bets|
|Winner||Melbourne Renegades WIN ($1.67)|
|Top Renegades Batsman||Aaron Finch ($3.20)|
|Top Heat Batsman||Ben Cutting ($15.00)|
|Top Renegades Bowler||Dwayne Bravo ($3.70)|
|Top Heat Bowler||Shadab Khan ($4.00)|
The Renegades started their tournament with an emphatic win against the Hobart Hurricanes. It was an impressive performance from quite possibly the best team on paper this year. Powered by an awesome batting performance from Cameron White and Marcus Harris as well as a five-wicket haul for Dwayne Bravo, the Renegades never looked in any danger of losing their match.
This performance becomes all the more impressive keeping in mind that Aaron Finch did not contribute in any meaningful manner and Tom Cooper also got out for a duck. Brad Hodge smashed a couple of sixes coming in at number five and with Bravo, Ludeman, and Wildermuth still to follow, the Renegades have the deepest batting lineup in this tournament.
Their bowling looks a little sketchy and they will depend a lot on Dwayne Bravo to get the job done every time. Bradd Hogg went for plenty and Mohammad Nabi looked ineffective on the flat Australian wickets even though he ended up with decent figures of four overs twenty five runs and one wicket. Kane Richardson was also expensive going at 9 runs an over while Jake Wildermuth’s bowling is the perfect pace for a set batsman in this competition. The Renegades could come unstuck in this tournament thanks to their bowling.
Brisbane Heat missed Chris Lynn in the last match because of a hamstring strain and it is unlikely that they will risk him so soon. Add to that, Joe Burns, who played brilliantly for his 50 against the Stars is expected to miss out as well with a groin strain.
The Heat still have Peirson, McCullum, Ross, Heazlett, and Cutting to provide the runs but this is definitely a weaker lineup than they would have liked. The Wolf would not count them out though as they could still take full advantage of the weak Melbourne Renegades bowling attack.
The Heat bowling was put under tremendous pressure by the Stars as they all traveled the distance and things are not about to get any easier. Shadab Khan picked up two wickets but came in for a lot of stick. Nevertheless the Wolf is backing him to come back strongly. He is being led by a captain who is very aggressive and that will continue to provide him wicket-taking opportunities.
Mitchell Swepson had an excellent outing, while Lalor, Steketee, and Doggett were good too. Ben Cutting went for 22 in one over but he was up against a rampaging Marcus Stoinis and so not too much can be read into that.
Head to Head
The Renegades have a 5-2 advantage over the Heat and have won the last four matches between the two. The record at the Docklands stadium is more even reading 3-2 in favour of the Renegades. Keeping in mind the injuries to the Brisbane Heat as well as the frenetic nature of some of their batting, the Renegades are definite favourites to win this match. The Wolf recommends sticking with them in this one.
Bet: Melbourne Renegades WIN ($1.67)
Top Melbourne Renegades Batsman
Aaron Finch has scored 345 runs against the Heat, more than any other player on either side. He did not spend enough time at the crease as he holed out to the spinner. He will no doubt be faced with plenty of spin in this match as well but the Wolf is backing him to take full control this time around.
Bet: Aaron Finch ($3.20)
Top Brisbane Heat Batsman
Ben Cutting played 18 deliveries for his 35 runs and showed the kind of destruction that he can wreak. With Lynn and Burns expected to miss out, Cutting could be required to play a larger hand in this match. He is also the highest scorer against the Renegades in this team with 168 runs in previous matches.
Bet: Ben Cutting ($15.00)
Top Melbourne Renegades Bowler
There is a reason why Dwayne Bravo is considered to be the best at what he does in the world. His mix of slower deliveries and cutters makes him very difficult to put away. He also bowls at the death or at times when the batsmen are going hard at the ball. With 5 wickets in his last match, Bravo is in excellent form and the Wolf’s pick to be the top bowler.
Bet: Dwayne Bravo ($3.70)
Top Brisbane Heat Bowler
A lot of the Melbourne Renegades batsmen are more comfortable against pace than they are against spin. The Wolf expects Shadab Khan to be used as a wicket-taking option by Brendon McCullum at all stages in the match. His googly is difficult to read and he is a quick learner. He could be the one to keep the Heat in this match if things go his way.
Bet: Shadab Khan ($4.00)