NBA Tips: Rockets @ Warriors (Game 4)

The Warriors made it 16 consecutive home wins in the playoffs! Will they extend the record by taking a commanding 3-1 series lead with them back to Houston…

NBA Playoffs Previews

NBA: Rockets @ Warriors – Game 4 (Wed 11:05am)

The Wolf called a Warriors win by 20+ but they did much better than that, routing the Rockets by 41 points! Mike D’Antoni described his teams performance as ‘soft’. They were held to just 85 points as a team and missed 19 layups with the duo of Harden and Paul combining for just 33 points.

Can they flip the script in Game 4….

NO WAY, according to The Wolf. The result in Game 3 was more than just a win. It was an embarrassment and the Warriors now own the record for the most consecutive playoff wins at home (16). They also improved to 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Conference Finals games an 5-2 ATS in their last 7 at home to the Rockets.

Of greater concern for the Rockets….

Computer game Steph is back! He went 7 for 7 in the 3rd quarter, dropping 18 points including several step back 3’s – none better than the one over James Harden. When Steph is in that sort of a mood there is no stopping Golden State. KD added 25 while Green grabbed 17 rebounds. That last number is a reflection of the lack of effort from the Rockets.

The Wolf would also like to call out their rotation players. With the starters struggling there is the potential for minutes to become available. With the starters sitting in the final 5 minutes the likes of Anderson, Black, Johnson and Mbah a Moute showed very little. They finished -12 in the final 6 minutes which is inexcusable at this level.

Houston will need to get the ball moving as they did in Game 2 and that means less iso-ball from James Harden. This may seem hard to believe, but his usage percentage is above LeBron’s for the playoffs (36.7 to 35.1). If the Rockets are to make this series competitive he will have to play off the ball far more regularly but The Wolf says that the Warriors will have all the answers – especially on the defensive end. Looney will replace Iguodala if he doesn’t take part and that means the Unders streak will almost certainly continue. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6, 11-3 in their last 14 after scoring 125 or more and 7-3 in their last 10 at home to teams with a winning record. Warriors minus and under double!

What about player props…

The only reason Durant failed to post 30+ for a 3rd straight game was due to the blowout and a predicted slower tempo (if Looney starts) means more rebounds down low. Look for Draymond to have another field day!

Wolf’s NBA Playoffs Best Bet Record: 31-29

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