Eastern Conference Finals Game 2
1. Cleveland @ Boston (10:35am)
The Wolf thought that the Celtics would come out with some intent in Game 1 but he could not have been more wrong. They were pathetic! LeBron was a man playing against boys and he could have had 50 if he wanted to. He went 7 from 7 driving to the hoop as the Celtics defenders alternated in playing the role of statue. Crowder, Smart, Olynyk and Brown all took turns with the same result – a Lebron score.
The scary thing for the Celtics is the fact that the Cavs had built a 23 point lead at half time and posted 61 points having shot just 2 of 9 from beyond the arc. What happened in the second half and the final 13 point margin are both irrelevant. What was evident in Game 1 is the fact that Boston’s lack of size leaves them severely exposed in this series. Tristan Thompson was a beast on the offensive glass and the Celtics don’t have anyone that can matchup on LeBron. The only way to counter this is to run the floor in order to generate open looks and force the Cavs to play a different line up.
When the game was played in the half court in the series opener the Celtics were torn to shreds. LeBron killed them in isolation on offence and was allowed time to pick and choose who he defended – which included becoming a brick wall in front of Isaiah Thomas. We saw Boston push the tempo, particularly in the 3rd quarter, and it finally allowed them to generate easy baskets. The Wolf is surprised to see the total set at the same mark as Game 1. The two teams combined for just 3 made 3-pointers in the 1st half yet the total still ended up going over. Korver went 1 from 6 and Kyrie added just 11 points. Cleveland will get more out of their bench as well. The Wolf was hoping for a series but it doesn’t look like we’ll be getting one.
Cavs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Celtics are now 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home to teams with a winning record. The Cavs are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Boston with the road team going 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 encounters. Now to the total… The Over is 7-2 in the Cavs last 9 when on one days rest and 24-9-1 in their last 34 after scoring 100+ in their previous game. With the Celtics forced to push the tempo their Overs trends will also continue. The Over is 7-1 in the Celtics last 8 following a loss and 12-3-1 in their last 16 at home. There is value to be had in the Cavs minus and Over double.
All NBA Tips
|Match (Time AEST)||NBA Tips|
|CLE @ BOS
|Best: Over 219.5 points ($1.91)
Other: Cleveland 11+ ($2.85)
Prop: LeBron James Pts, reb & ast 55 or more ($2.50)
Value: Cleveland -5.5 & Over 219.5 ($3.60)