The NBA continues to evolve into a shooter’s paradise with more than half of the teams scoring at least 110 points yesterday. We are set to see much of the same today with the total for all 5 games set well over the 200 mark.
1. LA Lakers @ Boston (12:05pm)
The Lakers have put together a nice little run with 3 wins from their last 4 (4-0 ATS) but all of those wins have come at home. A good little run is an understatement when it comes to the Celtics. They are flying and are seeking their 10th consecutive win since opening the season 0-2. They are 8-1 ATS (7-2 Under) and have become the clear standout when it comes to defence. Many are quickly fooled by the fact that the Celtics rank 21st in points per game but they are 2nd in average scoring margin behind only the Warriors. Defensively they are either 1st in the the top 5 for all major categories and it is the reason why The Wolf has the Lakers struggling today. Boston have been clinical at home and Wolfy thinks we will see them at their best against their historic rival.
2. Miami @ Phoenix (1:05pm)
Miami have completely owned the Suns in recent season going 9-1 both straight up and ATS in the last 10 meetings. The key has been Miami’s ability to shut down the Phoenix offence. The Suns have failed to reach triple figures in each of the last 10 encounters which is astonishing when you consider that the Suns have been one of the leading teams in the league in terms of scoring in recent years. The Heat have definitely slowed the pace right down and we have seen the Under go 4-0 in their last 4. A slow tempo will suit them to a tee and the Suns aren’t exactly the most efficient offence (28th). The Heat will continue their dominance.
3. Minnesota @ Golden State (2:35pm)
The match of the day takes us to Oracle Arena as it so often does and this will give us some gauge on just how good the Timberwolves can be. It’s far from the best time to be heading to the bay area… The Warriors have reeled off 4 straight wins (4-0 ATS) and have started to really ramp things up on defence. The T-Wolves have done their own winning – 5 in a row in fact and have had remarkabkle success in terms of betting against the Warriors. Minnesota has won 2 of the last 5 and has gone 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10. They always find themselves in high scoring encounters on the road and against good teams. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games which lines up perfectly with the Warriors 10-2 Overs record in their last 12 against West teams. This will be an old fashioned Western Conference shootout.
All NBA Tips
|Match (Time AEDT)||NBA Tips|
|IND @ DET
|Best: Over 209 points ($1.91)
Prop: Oladipo Over 21.5 points ($1.95)
|NYK @ ORL
|Best: New York +7.5 ($1.92)
Prop: Kanter 10+ rebounds ($1.80)
|LAL @ BOS
|Best: Boston -6.5 ($1.92)
Value: Boston Wire to Wire ($2.05)
|MIA @ PHX
|Best: Miami -6 ($1.92)
Value: Miami WIN & Under 215.5 ($2.55)
|MIN @ GSW
|Best: Over 227.5 points ($1.91)
Value: Steph Curry 30+ points ($1.90)
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