NBA Finals Tips: Cavs @ Warriors (Game 1)

Welcome to Warriors v Cavs Part IV. The King has carried the Cavs to the NBA Finals but will start a huge outsider. The Wolf gives the Cavs NO chance. Find out why…

NBA Finals Preview and Tips

NBA: Cavs @ Warriors – Game 1 (Fri 11:10am)

Almost 8 months ago we had penciled in the 4th installment of Warriors/Cavs but no-one could have imagined the twists and turns that we took to get here.

The Cavs traded away Kyrie Irving and then the four players they recruited (Thomas, Crowder, Rose and Wade) and ended up with Hill, Hood, Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr. They were a mediocre regular season team finishing 4th in the East and things didn’t get much better in the playoffs where they needed 7 games to get past both the Pacers and an undermanned Celtics.

The on constant…

LeBron! The King continues to show just how valuable he is. He has averaged 34 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists in the playoffs on almost 55% shooting and has had ZERO help. Kevin Love is the only other player averaging more than 10 points but his 13.9ppg is well down on his regular season numbers. Even worse is their lack of creativity. Their 18.8 assists is better than only the Thunder for the playoffs and almost 7 less than the Warriors 25.6 per game. The Cavs second best creator… George Hill with 2.2 assists per game – concerning to say the least.

Are the Warriors beatable…

Yes is you are the Houston Rockets but NO CHANCE if you are wearing a Cavs jersey. The Warriors have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between the two franchises and are 6-2 ATS in that stretch. The Cavs have far too many deficiencies as a team to be overcome by a single player – even if his name is LeBron James. Let’s cast our eyes back to when these two first met in the NBA Finals in 2015. They had no K-Love and lost Kyrie after Game 1. LeBron averaged 36 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists with his side not coming close.

Can the Cavs avoid a sweep…

Only if the Warriors want to win the series on their own floor. The margin between the two sides is that big that The Wolf says the Warriors are in a position to pencil in a series result that they desire. They will win Games 1 and 2 handily and LeBron will throw everything including the kitchen sink at them in the two games in Cleveland. They might win one. but that’s it!

Any stats to support the Cavs…

Slim pickings is the answer. The Cavs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when on 3 or more days rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Oracle Arena. A year ago we saw the highest scoring NBA Finals in history with an average of 236.4ppg. They will not go close to getting that – not even in a single game. Under is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 and 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 road games. They averaged only 97ppg in the series with the Celtics and their shooters have not been able to hit the rim on the road. The lead will be that big leading into the 4th quarter that the Cavs might sit LeBron!

Wolf’s NBA Playoffs Best Bet Record: 36-31

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