On Monday, all four American League teams are in action and both series are 2-0 in favour of the road team. The Wolf previews both games and gives his tips below.
Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox (4:30am)
The Astros lead the Red Sox 2-0 in this series and will aim for a sweep on Monday morning. The Red Sox got swept last year in the playoffs and they’ll be desperate for a rebound at home. To the point of suggesting Chris Sale could pitch out of the bullpen. The Astros wouldn’t mind though after they beat him in game 1, 8-2. Doug Fister will get the ball for Boston and he has struggled recently. In his last 4 starts, he’s allowed a total of 17 runs in 16.2 innings. He faced the Astros in his last start before the playoffs and he allowed 3 runs over 5.1 innings. The scoreline in that game was 3-2 but the Wolf is expecting more runs here. The Astros have scored a total of 16 runs in 2 games and the over total game score is 2-0 in this series. The Astros are also the number one scoring team on the road this season. Brad Peacock will make the start for them at Fenway. He also faced the Red Sox before the playoffs and the Astros pounded them 12-2. The over total is 4-0 when Peacock faces the Red Sox as well. He has a 8-0 record on the road this season and the Wolf can see him having another good outing in Boston. But the Wolf is sticking with the over total runs. It’s 10-5 in the Astros last 15 games in Boston and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. For the Red Sox, the over total is 6-3 in their last 9 games. So the Wolf is backing it in. He would also back the Astros as the safe bet in this game.
Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees (9:30am)
After a wild game 2, the Indians will travel to New York for a chance at the sweep. They rallied from a 8-3 deficit in game 2 and won via a walkoff in extra innings. In game 3, Masahiro Tanaka will head to the mound and he’ll look to keep the Yankees season alive with a strong outing. He went 9-5 at home this season with a 3.22 ERA. The Yankees are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts at home and 10-5 overall at home in his 15 starts. In his last start before the playoffs, Tanaka allowed just 3 hits over 7 innings against the Blue Jays. He last pitched against the Indians in 2016 and he struck out 8 batters in a Yankees 3-2 victory. So the Yankees will be confident with Tanaka on the mound. For the Indians, they’re 5-0 against the Yankees and Carlos Carrasco will start for them in game 3. He went 11-2 on the road this season with a 2.65 ERA. The Indians are 7-0 overall in his last 7 starts and 5-0 on the road. However, the Yankees are one of his bogey sides. The Indians lost 8-1 in his only start at Yankee Stadium this season. He allowed 5 earned runs in 5.2 innings. He’s also lost his previous two starts against the Yankees for a 0-3 record since 2016. After the Yankees were up 8-3 in game 2, the Wolf is predicting a rebound home victory for them. The home side has been dominant in the playoffs and they’re 13-3 in their last 16 home games. They also have a 31-11 record as the underdog, while the Indians are 73-76 as the favourite. So in the end, the Yankees are a good bet at $2 for the win.
Wolf’s Best Bet Record