NFL Preview – Week 5

NFL Betting

NFL Preview – Week 5

The Wolf previews each of the televised matches in Week 5 of the NFL. The Patriots are a surprising 2-2 to start the season and will kick off Week 5 with a road trip to Tampa Bay to take on Jameis Winston and the Buccaneers. The Bears and Vikings face off in an NFC North clash at Soldier Field, with rookie quarterback and No.2 draft pick, Mitchell Trubisky, taking the reins from Mike Glennon in the Windy City. The Wolf’s best bet is the Eagles to cover at home.

Match
(Time AEDT)

Best Bets

New England @ Tampa Bay
(Fri 11:25am)
Over 55.5 ($1.91)
Arizona @ Philadelphia
(Mon 4am)
Philadelphia -6.5 ($1.91) 💰
NY Jets @ Cleveland
(Mon 4am)
Cleveland -1 ($1.91)
Carolina @ Detroit
(Mon 4am)
Carolina +2.5 ($1.91) 💰
San Francisco @ Indianapolis
(Mon 4am)
Indianapolis -1.5 ($1.91) 💰
Tennessee @ Miami
(Mon 4am)
Miami +1 ($1.91) 💰
LA Chargers @ NY Giants
(Mon 4am)
LA Chargers +3.5 ($1.91) 💰
Buffalo @ Cincinnati
(Mon 4am)
Buffalo +3 ($1.91)
Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh
(Mon 4am)
Jacksonville +8.5 ($1.91) 💰
Seattle @ LA Rams
(Mon 7:05am)
Under 47.5 ($1.91) 💰
Baltimore @ Oakland
(Mon 7:05am)
Oakland -2.5 ($1.83)
Green Bay @ Dallas
(Mon 7:25am)
Over 52 ($1.91) 💰
Kansas City @ Houston
(Mon 11:30am)
Houston +1 ($1.91)
Minnesota @ Chicago
(Tues 11:30am)
Chicago +3/Unders

NFL Match Previews

New England @ Tampa Bay – (Fri 11:30am)
The Patriots suffered a shock 33-30 loss to the Panthers in Week 4 and find themselves in the unfamiliar position of 2-2 to start the season. The Patriots offence under the leadership of Tom Brady has always been their strong suit, but the gap between their offence and defence has been huge across the first four weeks of the season. The Pats defence is conceding an average of 32 points this season and takes on a strong Buccaneers offence this week, containing the likes of Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson. The Bucs have made a 2-0 start at home this season and will fancy their chances against a Pats defence that is under plenty of pressure. They will also be boosted by the return of starting running back Doug Martin from suspension. The Wolf is expecting a shootout and is backing the overs despite the daunting game score of 55.5. The Patriots are 8-0 over in their last 8 games overall, while the Bucs are 7-2 over in their last 9 games after conceding 250 passing yards in the previous weeks. Plenty of points in Tampa!
Best: Over 55.5 ($1.91)

Arizona @ Philadelphia – (Mon 4am)
The Cardinals offensive line is a complete mess and they’ve struggled to run the ball effectively ever since gun running back David Johnson went down with injury. Realistically, they’re lucky to be 2-2 after OT wins over the 49ers and Colts. Meanwhile, quarterback Carson Palmer can expect a torrid time in Philly behind one of the worst blocking units in the league. The Eagles are sitting on top of the NFC East with a 3-1 record and look to have a clear advantage over the Cardinals, who have to travel across the country to play in the early time slot. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win.
Best: Philadelphia -6.5 ($1.91)

Green Bay @ Dallas – (Mon 7:30am)
The Packers will travel to Arlington, Texas to take on the Cowboys in the hope of a repeating last season’s 34-31 Divisional playoff victory. Packers running back Ty Montgomery scored two touchdowns in the three-point win, while Cowboys No.1 receiver Dez Bryant had a monster night, with two touchdowns and 132 receiving yards from 9 receptions. The Packers will be sweating on the fitness of Montgomery in the hope that he can overcome a rib injury. If he’s no good to go it could be a time share in the Packers backfield between Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones. Wide receiver Davante Adams is currently in the concussion protocol after the sickening hit he took against the Bears last week. It will be worth keeping an eye on team news to see how the Packers line up for this clash. The Cowboys have been disappointing this season, topped off with a 35-30 home loss to the Rams last week. Rams second year quarterback Jared Goff has improved significantly on his rookie year, but if he could get the Rams offence going in Dallas, the sky is the limit to what future hall of fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers can do. In last year’s divisional playoff, Rodgers and Dak Prescott threw for a combined five touchdowns. The Wolf is expecting both teams to be able to move the ball comfortably down the field and is backing Over 52 points to be scored as his best bet. Overs is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the sides in Dallas and Green Bay is 5-0 Over in their last 5 road games.
Best: Over 52 ($1.91)

Kansas City @ Houston – (Mon 11:30am)
The Texans led by rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson made the NFL world take notice after a blistering 57-14 win over the Titans last week. Watson looked like a seasoned veteran, throwing four TDs and rushing one in of his own. Now comes the big test against the 4-0 Chiefs and a rampaging Justin Houston. Watson’s ability to move around in the pocket and having the explosive DeAndre Hopkins as his go-to man, should hold Watson in good stead against any pressure that the Chiefs send his way. The Chiefs (4-0) have been ultra-impressive this season on the back of QB Alex Smith and rookie RB sensation Kareem Hunt. The one disadvantage for the Chiefs is that they’re on a short week after their come-from-behind win over the Redskins in Monday Night Football. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. It’s a real toss of the coin job, but The Wolf has settled on the home side with +1 start.
Best: Houston +1 ($1.91)

Minnesota @ Chicago – (Tues 11:30am)
This game was off the board at the time of the preview due to the uncertainty surrounding the health of the Vikings starting quarterback Sam Bradford. Back-up QB Case Keenum was very good against the Bucs in Week 3, but had a reality check against the Lions last week. However, the big news in Minnesota is the season-ending ACL injury suffered by explosive rookie running back Dalvin Cook. Injuries have been cruel to the Vikings over the past few years and things became much tougher now with Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon leading the backfield. The Bears have finally made a QB change, benching Mike Glennon and handing rookie Mitchell Trubisky a home debut against one of the best defences in the league. Trubisky looked solid in the preseason for the Bears and is definitely an upgrade on Glennon. The problem for Trubisky will be his lack of downfield weapons, but you would imagine that Bears coach John Fox will adopt a run-heavy offence to ease Trubisky into the NFL. The Bears have been good at home this season, with a win over the Steelers and a near-win over the Falcons. The Bears with at least a FG start is the way The Wolf will play this one and is keen on the unders. The unders is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings, while the Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against the Bears in Chicago.
Best: Chicago +3

The Wolf’s Best Bets: 32-29-1