NFL Preview – Week 2
The Wolf previews each of the televised matches in Week 12 of the NFL. The Patriots will be looking to bounce back after their shock loss to the Chiefs in Week 1, while the Buccaneers and Dolphins will be playing their first games of the season. The Wolf has made New England -6.5 @ $1.91 (v New Orleans) his best of the week!
NFL Match Previews
Houston @ Cincinnati – (Fri 10:25am AEST)
Thursday Night Football can’t come quick enough for both of these sides after disappointing performances in Week 1. The Bengals were shutout 20-0 by the Ravens and quarterback Andy Dalton had an afternoon to forget. Dalton matched his career high for interceptions, with four picks and also had a fumble in a terrible first-up outing. Dalton’s stat line made for awful reading, 16/31 for 170 yards, including four interceptions and five sacks. Meanwhile, things weren’t much better for the Texans. Rookie Jags running back, Leonard Fournette, gashed the usually strong Texans defence for 100 yards and a touchdown, while the Jaguars defence looked the real deal. Jacksonville had 10 sacks and four forced turnovers in a dominant defensive display which led the Jaguars to a 29-7 win. The only sour note for the Jaguars was an ACL injury suffered by No.1 wide receiver Allen Robinson. Texans starting QB Tom Savage was benched by Bill O’Brien in favour of rookie Deshaun Watson, who has been named the starter for the upcoming game against the Bengals. The Texans have won seven of the past eight clashes against the Bengals, making the +6.5 start to the Texans an intriguing play. However, The Wolf is expecting both sides to have difficulty moving the pigskin, making the unders the best play here. The Texans defence will be hurt by last week’s effort against the Jaguars and it could be another torrid time for Dalton. The Wolf can only wish the Bengals offensive line the best of luck in stopping the likes of Jadeveon Clowney and J.J.Watt. Unders is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the sides and the under is 7-1 in the Texans last eight games off an ATS loss.
Best: Under 38 ($1.91)
New England @ New Orleans – (Mon 3am AEST)
The Saints couldn’t be meeting the Tom Brady-led Patriots at a worse time. The Patriots suffered a shock home loss 42-27 loss to the Chiefs in Week 1 and will travel to New Orleans determined to make amends against one of the the worst defences in the league. The Saints gave up 470 total yards to the Vikings in Week 1, with Vikings QB Sam Bradford (27/32, 346 yards and 3 TDs) along with wide receivers Adam Thielen (9/157) and Stefon Diggs (7/93 – 2 TDs) having a night to remember. If Bradford can do that damage, imagine what Brady will do! The Patriots have won four of their last five games against the Saints and are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games. The Patriots are 5-0 over in their last five games, while the Saints are 4-0 over in their last four games. The Wolf is expecting a shootout and the Patriots to cover.
Best: New England -6.5 ($1.91)
Dallas @ Denver – (Mon 6:25am AEST)
Both the Broncos and Cowboys started their 2017 campaigns with a win and will be looking to build on their respective performances here. The Broncos raced out to a 24-7 lead against the Chargers before winning the contest 24-21. However, they were given a scare when the Chargers scored 14 unanswered points in the 4th quarter to fall just short. Meanwhile, the Cowboys defence limited the Giants to just 35 rushing yards in their 19-3 victory over their NFC East rivals. On the other side of the ball, Cowboys running Ezekiel Elliott ran for 104 yards from 24 carries to put a turbulent offseason behind him. It was a solid all-round performance by the Cowboys and they’ll fancy their chances when they head to Denver. However, recent history hasn’t been kind to them in clashes against the Broncos. The Broncos have won five straight against the Cowboys, dating back to 1998. The Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win and should be too strong for the Broncos, who were lucky to escape against the Chargers.
Best: Dallas ($1.80)
Green Bay @ Atlanta – (Mon 10:30am AEST)
The Falcons were lucky that the Bears couldn’t catch a ball in the final drive of the game, otherwise they would have left Soldier Field with a 1 in the loss column. It was hardly the ideal preparation for when Aaron Rodgers and the Packers come to town this week. The Packers are coming off a strong 17-9 win over the Seahawks at Lambeau and The Wolf is keen on their chances on the road in Week 2. The promising sign for the Packers was how well their defence went against Russell Wilson’s passing game. They conceded only 135 passing yards and will need a repeat performance against Falcons QB Matt Ryan, who has one of the best passing games in the league. The Falcons are opening their new stadium and will want to kick off in style, while the Packers will be seeking revenge for last season’s 44-21 loss in the NFC Championship game. Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones blew the Packers secondary apart for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns. If the Packers weren’t on the road they would be favourites here. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between the sides, while the underdog is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 meetings. Take the Pack with the +2.5 start.
Best: Green Bay +2.5 ($2)
Detroit @ New York Giants – (Tues 10:30am AEST)
The Giants looked awful in their 19-3 loss to the Cowboys, especially their running game which was limited to 35 rushing yards. The offence looked completely loss without Odell Beckham Jr, but it was the performance of Eli Manning that has many experts saying that the former MVP is done. The Lions won a high-scoring affair 35-23 against the Cardinals, with rookie wide receiver Kenny Golladay (4/69) stealing the show, with two touchdowns. The Lions defence also held their own, picking off Cardinals QB Carson Palmer on three occasions. The fitness of OBJ needs to be monitored, but the Lions look the value play here. The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between the sides. In saying all of that, The Wolf is playing the unders here. The unders is 4-0 in the Giants last four home games, while the Lions have gone under in their last seven matches following a win.
Best: Under 43.5 ($1.91)
The Wolf’s Best Bets: 6-8-1