NFL Preview – Week 12

NFL Betting

NFL Preview – Week 12

The Wolf previews each of the televised matches in Week 12 of the NFL. It all kicks off with a Thanksgiving triple-header. The Eagles saluted as the best bet last week and The Wolf is making LA Rams -2.5 ($1.83) his best bet in Week 12

(Time AEDT)

Best Bets

Minnesota @ Detroit
(Fri 4:30am)
Detroit +3 ($1.80)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Dallas
(Fri 8:30am)
Los Angeles Chargers -2 ($1.91)
New York Giants @ Washington
(Fri 12:30pm)
Under 44.5 ($1.91)
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
(Mon 5am)
Tampa Bay +10 ($1.83)
Cleveland @ Cincinnati
(Mon 5am)
Cincinnati -8 ($1.91)
Tennessee @ Indianapolis
(Mon 5am)
Tennessee -3 ($1.83)
Buffalo @ Kansas City
(Mon 5am)
Buffalo +10 ($1.87)
Miami @ New England
(Mon 5am)
Miami +16.5 ($1.87)
Carolina @ New York Jets
(Mon 5am)
Carolina -4.5 ($1.91)
Chicago @ Philadelphia
(Mon 5am)
Philadelphia -13.5 ($1.91)
Seattle @ San Francisco
(Mon 8:05am)
Under 45 ($1.91)
New Orleans @ Los Angeles Rams
(Mon 8:25am)
LA Rams -2.5 ($1.83)
Jacksonville @ Arizona
(Mon 8:25am)
Jacksonville -5.5 ($1.91)
Denver @ Oakland
(Mon 8:25am)
Oakland -5 ($1.91)
Green Bay @ Pittsburgh
(Mon 12:30pm)
Pittsburgh -14 ($1.95)
Houston @ Baltimore
(Tues 12:30pm)
Baltimore -7 ($1.87)

NFL Match Previews

Minnesota @ Detroit – (Fri 4:30am)
The Lions will be looking to bridge the gap in the NFC North when they host the Vikings on Thanksgiving. The Vikings lead the way with an 8-2 record, while the Lions are two games back at 6-4. Minnesota wide receiver Adam Thielen exploded for 123 yards and a touchdown last week, but won’t have the same luxury this week against the likes of Darius Slay. The Wolf is expecting a run heavy approach by the Vikings through the tandem of Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon. Lions QB Matthew Stafford will look to exploit the Vikings via slot receiver Golden Tate and should have good success doing it. The Wolf is keen on the Lions as a home underdog. The underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings between the sides, while the Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Lions have won the last three straight against the Vikings as well.
Best: Detroit +3 ($1.80)

Los Angeles Chargers @ Dallas – (Fri 8:30am)
The Cowboys will be looking to bounce back after they were blown off the park by the high-flying Eagles in Week 11. Plenty of people have been saying that Ezekiel Elliott’s presence would have made a difference, but it was the absence of Sean Lee and Tyron Smith which made life difficult for the Cowboys. Second year QB Dak Prescott had no protection with Smith out and produced the worst game of his short career. Fortunately for the Cowboys and Prescott, it looks like Smith will return this week. He’ll need to be at his best with Joey Bosa charging through at Prescott, while Melvin Ingram will be creating headaches on the other side. Chargers QB Philip Rivers will look to expose the Cowboys through his pass-catching running backs and tight end, with Sean Lee still on the sidelines. The Wolf is backing the Chargers to win this one on the back of their underrated defence, the same defence which was responsible for five interceptions against Bills back-up QB Nathan Peterman. The Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, while the Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.
Best: Los Angeles Chargers -2 ($1.91)

New York Giants @ Washington – (Fri 12:30pm)
The Redskins had enough chances to beat the Saints last week before losing 34-31 in OT and will be looking to take out their anger and frustration on the struggling Giants, who did surprise many with their 12-9 upset over the Chiefs. The Wolf can see the Redskins bouncing back but is worried about the TD start to the Giants. In saying that, he doesn’t want to be relying on Eli Manning and the 2-8 Giants on the road. The best play is the unders with the Giants struggling to score points. The Giants have scores of 12, 21, 17 and 7 in their last four games. The unders is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the sides, while the unders is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Best: Under 44.5 ($1.91)

Buffalo @ Kansas City – (Mon 5am)
The Bills were embarrassed 54-24 by the Chargers in Week 11 and it will be a game that Bills back-up QB Nathan Peterman will never forget, finishing with a stat line of 6/14, 66 yards and a massive five interceptions. The Bills have made the smart decision to reinstate Tyrod Taylor as the starting QB and he’ll be looking to get the Bills back on track here against a Chiefs defence that isn’t as strong as it once was. Meanwhile, the Chiefs were shocked with a 12-9 loss to the Giants last week and this shapes up as a great bounce back spot back at Arrowhead. The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City, while the Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Chiefs will win the contest, but the -10 will prove too big to cover against a Bills side that needs to rediscover their early season form.
Best: Buffalo +10 ($1.87)

New Orleans @ Los Angeles Rams – (Mon 8:30am)
The Wolf is really looking forward to this clash between two of the heavyweights of the NFC. The LA Rams have already exceeded expectations with their 7-3 record to lead the way in the NFC West, while the 8-2 Saints lead the charge in the NFC South, with running backs Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara tearing it up. Saints cornerback Marshon Lattimore has been spotted in a walking boot at practice and would be a massive out if he can’t take his spot here. The Rams will also be without wide receiver Robert Woods, who has been their best receiver this year. It be up to Sammy Watkins to carry the load in his absence, while Cooper Kupp should see more targets in Woods’ absence. The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, while the Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings against the Rams and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 clashes in LA.
Best: LA Rams -2.5 ($1.83)

Green Bay @ Pittsburgh – (Mon 12:30pm)
The Steelers blew the Titans off the park 40-17 last week and have had a long preparation heading into the clash against the Packers. Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger threw for 4 TDs in the win over the Titans and is set for another big performance against the burnable Packers secondary. Brett Hundley looks out of his depth in the NFL after an ordinary performance against the Ravens last week. It’s a big line, but it’s hard to ignore a Steelers side at home with the likes of Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell ready to be unleashed off a long week. Look out Packers! The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, while the Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Best: Pittsburgh -14 ($1.95)

Houston @ Baltimore – (Tues 12:30pm)
The Ravens defence holds the key to this clash. They kept the Packers scoreless last week and will keep Texans QB Tom Savage under pressure all game. It’s hard to see the Texans being able to stop Terrell Suggs and co. The Texans simply won’t have the points in them to match the Ravens, who are very good at grinding out results. The game total line suggest a low scoring affair and the Wolf tends to agree, but his best bet is the Ravens to cover the TD line. The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, while the Texans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. The home team is also 4-1 ATS in the past 5 clashes.
Best: Baltimore -7 ($1.87)

The Wolf’s Best Bets: 72-79-6