NFL Preview – Week 11

NFL Betting

NFL Preview – Week 11

The Wolf previews each of the televised matches in Week 11 of the NFL. There is some absolute crackers on the Week 11 slate, with The Wolf making Philadelphia -3.5 his best bet in Week 11.

(Time AEDT)

Best Bets

Tennessee @ Pittsburgh
(Fri 12:25pm)
Over 44 ($1.91) 
Kansas City @ New York Giants
(Mon 5am)
New York Giants +10.5 ($1.87) 
Jacksonville @ Cleveland
(Mon 5am)
Jacksonville -7.5 ($1.91) 
Baltimore @ Green Bay
(Mon 5am)
Baltimore ($1.77) 
Arizona @ Houston
(Mon 5am)
Arizona +1 (1.91)
Los Angeles Rams @ Minnesota
(Mon 5am)
Los Angeles Rams +2.5 ($1.91)
Washington @ New Orleans
(Mon 5am)
Washington +7.5 ($1.91) 
Detroit @ Chicago
(Mon 5am)
Chicago +3 ($1.87)
Tampa Bay @ Miami
(Mon 5am)
Tampa Bay +1 ($1.91) 
Buffalo @ Los Angeles Chargers
(Mon 8:05am)
LA Chargers -4.5 ($1.91) 
Cincinnati @ Denver
(Mon 8:25am)
Denver -2.5 ($1.83)
New England @ Oakland
(Mon 8:25am)
Over 53.5 ($1.91)
Philadelphia @ Dallas
(Mon 12:30pm)
Philadelphia -3.5 ($1.91) 
Atlanta @ Seattle
(Tues 12:30pm)
Seattle -2.5 ($1.87)

NFL Match Previews

Tennessee @ Pittsburgh – (Fri 12:25pm)
The Steelers will be looking to consolidate their top spot in the AFC North when they host the Titans in Thursday Night Football. It was a less than convincing 20-17 win over the struggling Colts last week and the Steelers will be looking for a much better showing in front of their home fans. The Steelers showed cracks in their secondary, with Colts wide receiver Chester Rodgers recording 104 yards and a touchdown from 6 receptions, while Donte Moncrief went for 60 yards and a touchdown off one play. Look for Titans QB Marcus Mariota to go deep, with the Steelers missing cornerback Joe Haden and safety Mike Mitchell is in doubt. Like the Steelers, the Titans play solid run defence and they’ll need to if they’re to limit the effectiveness of Le’Veon Bell. If both sides can limit the run, it opens up the possibility of a shootout. Overs is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the sides in Pittsburgh.
Best: Over 44 ($1.91)

Los Angeles Rams @ Minnesota – (Mon 5am)
The injury to Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has seen the NFC North open up for the 7-2 Vikings. They should prove hard to run down while Rodgers is on the sidelines, but won’t get it all their own way against the in-form Rams. The Vikings won a shootout 38-30 on the road against the Redskins, with QB Case Keenum throwing for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns. The leash is short on Keenum, with Teddy Bridgewater waiting to make his long awaited return from injury. Keenum also won’t have the same luxury against the Rams, with Aaron Donald one of the hardest players in the league to stop. For the Rams, QB Jared Goff has been excellent in his second season, largely due to the protection from his offensive line and improved chemistry with his receivers. The Rams are 7-2 and currently 1st in the NFC West. They were too strong for the Texans last week, winning 33-7, with Goff throwing for 355 yards and 3 TDs. Wide receiver had a career-best game, blowing up for 171 yards and 2 touchdowns. Another consideration is that the Vikings will play the Lions on Thanksgiving in an NFC North showdown and a win there for the Vikings could potentially secure the division. The Rams are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games coming off a win.
Best: Los Angeles Rams +2.5 ($1.91)

New England @ Oakland – (Mon 8:30am)
The Raiders will be fresh for this clash against the Patriots in Mexico after their Week 10 bye, while the Patriots are coming off a 41-16 road win over the Broncos. Despite the big win for the Pats, Raiders QB Derek Carr should have success exploiting the Patriots secondary when you consider the damage Broncos wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders (6/137) did last week. Tom Brady will also have success exploiting the Raiders defence, especially through his receiving running backs and tight end Rob Gronkowski. Both teams will want to put a show on in Mexico and the Wolf is expecting a high-scoring affair with both QBs prepared to sling the pigskin. The defences could also struggle with the high altitude if they’re forced to stay on the field for an extended period of time. Overs is 4-1 in the Raiders last 5 games, while the Patriots are 6-2 overs in their last 8 games following a win. The Wolf is taking the overs and also the Raiders with the TD start.
Best: Over 53.5 ($1.91)

Philadelphia @ Dallas – (Mon 12:30pm)
The Ezekiel Elliott saga looks to be finally over, with the Cowboys running back agreeing to serve out his six-game suspension. It’s a major blow to the Cowboys running game and more importantly the chance to spread the Eagles defence. The Cowboys will also be without linebacker Sean Lee who is the leader of the Cowboys defence. Pardon the pun, but the Eagles are flying! QB Carson Wentz is having a MVP-like season for the 8-1 Eagles and they’ll be well-rested on the back of their Week 10 bye. They’ve got weapons all over field, with Jay Ajayi, Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffrey all demanding attention. The Eagles have covered the spread in their last 6 games overall and look to have too much firepower for a Cowboys side missing key personnel (Lee and Elliott) on both sides of the ball.
Best: Philadelphia -3.5 ($1.91)

Atlanta @ Seattle – (Tues 12:30pm)
The Falcons kept their season alive last week with a 27-7 win over the Cowboys and must lift again for a daunting road trip to CenturyLink. They could be without starting RB Devonta Freeman after he was concussed against the Cowboys, but they have a more than handy replacement in Tevin Coleman. The Seahawks suffered a major blow last week, losing Richard Sherman for the season, but should get Earl Thomas back to carry the Legion Of Boom. The Wolf was keen on the Seahawks before the season started and is hoping new left tackle Duane Brown can protect Wilson’s blind side and allow him to stopping scrambling for his life. The home field factor sways this one in favour of the Seahawks according to The Wolf. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, while the Seahawks love Monday Night Football, with a 8-2-1 against the spread record in their last 11 Monday games.
Best: Seattle -2.5 ($1.87)

The Wolf’s Best Bets: 65-73-5