|Melbourne v Richmond
Tue 7:25pm at MCG
|Best: Wire to Wire- Any Other Result ($2.05)
Value: Richmond 1-24 ($3.30)
Player Prop: Jesse Hogan 3+ Goals ($2.25)
First Goalscorer: Jesse Hogan
Round 7 will continue on ANZAC Day Eve when the Dees and the Tigers clash on the MCG. Melbourne were diabolical last round, going down by 67 points to the Hawks, despite starting as favourites. Richmond, on the other hand, smashed the hapless Lions by 93 points and look primed to get their 4th win at the ‘G this year from 4 games.
Melbourne (LWWL) – Melbourne did what Melbourne do best last round- disappoint their supporters. In a game where they were favourites; they were out-worked, out-skilled, out-thought and simply found wanting against a Hawthorn side that clearly wanted to win more and did- despite having 3 game-ending injuries during the match!
Richmond (WLWW) – If there were any doubts about how much the Tiges love the ‘G, they were well and truly dispelled with their massive 93 point win over a hapless Lions side. Perhaps more can be read into the tough-fought win over the Hawks in Round 3, when Trent Cotchin led his side to a 13 point win despite strong games from Hawks Mitchell, McEvoy and Roughead.
Stats That Matter
– Richmond are 3-0 at the MCG this year
– The past 5 meetings are split 3-2 to Melbourne
– Jack Riewoldt kicked 6 goals last time they met
– The Dees are 4-10 ATS in their past 14 games at the ‘G
– Max Gawn is averaging 114 AFL Fantasy points per game in 2018
– Richmond are kicking 103 points per game this season
2018 Line: Melbourne– 2-2; Richmond– 2-2
2018 Over-Under: Melbourne– 2-2; Richmond– 3-1
What To Expect
Who knows what Demons side to expect! Either way, what we do know, is these Tigers are flying- and they have made themselves incredibly hard to beat at the ‘G. The Wolf thinks Melbourne (quite rightly) should come out fired up and full of fight- but is expecting the stingy Richmond defence to be able to absorb that pressure and allow their midfield to run over the top of them late in the game.
How It’s Shaping Up
Richmond by 16