AFL Preview Round 4: Eagles v Suns

Your eyes are not deceiving you- Gold Coast is playing in Perth for the second week in a row when they take on the Eagles at the new Optus Stadium. Thanks to the Commonwealth Games, the Suns have been staying in Perth for the past week, in an attempt to rest their travel-weary legs- and surely it will start to take its toll on the young side eventually. Unfortunately for them, they also come up against an Eagles side buoyed by their impressive 15 points win over the Cats last round; a performance that has had the whole footy world wondering whether they might be good enough for Finals after all.

Form
West Coast (LWW) – The Eagles have been impressive in their past two wins, which have both come without their attacking spearhead, Josh Kennedy. Hurn, McGovern and Yeo are providing great drive from the back half, but what will please Adam Simpson most of all is the evenness of his contributors; there hasn’t been much dead weight in the first 3 weeks.

Gold Coast (WWL) – It has been a fantastic start to his Senior Coaching career for Stuart Dew, who has injected a bit of life into what had previously been a lazy team defence. Jarryd Lyons has proved to be one of the most underrated midfielders in the competition, while Tom Lynch has benefited from a more even midfield contribution. The Suns are staying in Perth after a ‘Home’ game against the Eagles last week- and have plenty of flyer miles racked up already.

Stats That Matter
– West Coast are 9-4 at Perth since the start of 2017
– The Suns have only won 1 match in Perth from 11 attempts
– Luke Shuey averages 27 disposals and 107 Fantasy Points per game against the Suns
– Last year was the Suns first victory over the Eagles after 9 games
– Gold Coast are 2-10 ATS away from home
– Josh Kennedy has kicked 35 goals from 7 games against the Gold Coast

Betting Data
2018 Line: West Coast– 2-1; Gold Coast– 2-1
2018 Over-Under: West Coast– 2-1; Gold Coast– 0-3

What To Expect
Wolfie has been surprised by the Eagles output this season after they lost so much quality personnel, and has learnt his lesson after underestimating them last round. Gold Coast look like they may fade out of the contest after awhile as well, which is where Darling, Shuey, Yeo and Naitanui will shine. Expecting a comfortable Eagles win at home here.

How It’s Shaping Up
West Coast by 31

Recommended Bets

Best: 4th Quarter- West Coast -9.5 ($1.87)
Value: Dom Sheed 30+ Disposals ($3.25)
Player Prop: Luke Shuey 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.50)
First Goalscorer: Mark LeCras

The Wolf’s AFL Tips: Round 4

Round 4 Matches (Previews) AFL Tips
Adelaide v Collingwood
Fri 19:50
Best: Adelaide 25+ ($1.58)
Value: Multi – Pendlebury 25+ Disposals/Sidebottom 30+ Disposals ($3.04)
Player Prop: Steele Sidebottom 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.05)
First Goalscorer: Eddie Betts ($11.00)
GWS v Fremantle
Sat 13:45 
Best: GWS Lead At End of Each Quarter ($1.64)
Value: Giants by 20-39 ($3.20)
Player Prop: Lachie Neale 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.25)
First Goalscorer: Jonathan Patton 
Richmond v Brisbane
Sat 14:10 
Best: Richmond 1-39 ($2.40)
Value: Dustin Martin 35+ Disposals ($5.50)
Player Prop: Trent Cotchin 100+ Fantasy Points ($2.50)
First Goalscorer: Jacob Townsend
Western Bulldogs v Sydney
Sat 16:35 
Best: Sydney by 25+ ($2.25)
Value: Multi – Franklin 4+ Goals/McLean 25+ Disposals/Lloyd 25+ Disposals ($4.90)
Player Prop: Lance Franklin 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.95)
First Goalscorer: Callum Sinclair
Nth Melbourne v Carlton
Sat 19:25 
Best: Over 178.5 points ($1.88)
Value: Ben Brown 5+ Goals ($3.50)
Player Prop: Ed Curnow 30+ Disposals ($2.05)
First Goalscorer: Jarrad Waite
West Coast v Gold Coast
Sat 20:10
Best: 4th Quarter- West Coast -9.5 ($1.87)
Value: Dom Sheed 30+ Disposals ($3.25)
Player Prop: Luke Shuey 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.50)
First Goalscorer: Mark LeCras
Essendon v Port Adelaide
Sun 13:10
Best: Port Adelaide WIN ($1.65)
Value: HT/FT Double – Essendon/Port Adelaide ($6.50)
Player Prop: Dyson Heppell 30+ Disposals ($3.00)
First Goalscorer: Orazio Fantasia
Hawthorn v Melbourne
Sun 15:20
Best: Both Teams Score 80 Points ($1.82)
Value: Hawthorn WIN and Over 179.5 ($3.30)
Player Multi: Jarryd Roughead 2+ Goals/Clayton Oliver 30+ Disposals ($3.02)
First Goalscorer: Jarryd Roughead
Geelong v St Kilda
Sun 16:40
Best: Wire to Wire- GEELONG ($1.83)
Value: St. Kilda +24.5 & Under 179.5 ($4.00)
Player Prop: Zach Tuohy 25+ Disposals ($1.95)
First Goalscorer: Tom Hawkins 
Mick’s Picks
Expert Analysis From Mick Malthouse

BuildABet

Have you ever wanted to bet on a market that just isn’t available anywhere? If so, your life is about to change with William Hill’s BuildABet. Complete the form, requesting the market you want and our traders will price the market up for you! We will be in touch once the request is live on our site.

Discuss