AFL Preview Round 17: Kangaroos v Swans

North Melbourne will take on Sydney on Sunday afternoon at Etihad, in a match that is crucial for both sides in the hunt for Finals footy. The Swans have lost two in a row and are sitting outside the Top 4 and they will face the Roos, who beat them on their own turf earlier in the year. North simply must win these games if it is to return to September, and you can be assured they will put in a hell of a fight against a desperate Swans side.

Form

North Melbourne (WLWLW) – They were the equal 2nd favourite to record the most losses in 2018, so it really has been a remarkable coaching performance by Brad Scott to get the Roos to a 9-6 record and within sight of the 8. While the midfield is more blue collar than white collar, it has certainly been measuring up against the more fancied opponents, and the stingy defence has kept them in games they aren’t expected to win. They may not make finals, but they are certainly heading in the right direction after a few brave list/recruiting calls. 

Sydney (WWWLL) – Their form has been so hard to gauge this year, something we haven’t associated with the Swans for a long time. Injuries have hurt, no doubt, but the lack of run from the midfield has been the more alarming- sides are making Hannebery, Parker and Kennedy look like old men! Buddy has been immense, as always, but they have been so Buddy-centric of late that kids like Hayward, Florent, Ronke and McCartin aren’t hitting the scoreboard like they should be. It’s making them very predictable and easy to pick off. 

Stats That Matter
– North won their Round 7 encounter by 2 points
– The Swans have won 10 of their last 12 games at Etihad
– Josh Kennedy has averaged 27 disposals and 113 Fantasy Points in his 13 games as a Swan against the Roos
– Sydney have won 12 of their last 15 interstate games
– North are 2-6 on the Over/Under in home fixtures
– Shaun Higgins is averaging 31 disposals and 104 Fantasy Points in his last 5 matches
– The Kangaroos have won 12 of 15 third quarters (+134 points)

Betting Data

2018 Line: North Melbourne- 8-7; Sydney- 7-8

2018 Over-Under: North Melbourne- 4-11; Sydney- 7-8

What To Expect

Wolf knows one thing, and that is to never write a club like the Swans off- but the price for the Roos is too good to ignore here. They have the tools to challenge the Swans, and are always good at Etihad. Either team under 15.5 ($2.60) is a tempting proposition, but Wolfie likes the Roos to upset the Swans.

How It’s Shaping Up
North Melbourne by 4

Pump It Up Price Special: Buddy & Brown Score 9+ Goals ($5.00)

Recommended Bets

Best Bet: North Melbourne WIN ($2.00)
Value Bet: North Melbourne 1-24 ($3.50)
Player Prop: Josh Kennedy 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.85)

First Goalscorer: Will Hayward

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