|Hawthorn v Adelaide
Sat 7:25pm at MCG
|Best Bet: Hawthorn WIN ($1.62)
Value Bet: Adelaide Total Score 61-75 Points ($3.15)
Player Prop: TBA
First Goalscorer: Jack Gunston
Hawthorn (WLLLW) – All through this season, an important win has been followed by a discouraging loss and as such it has been incredibly hard to guage where they are at as a club. Their win against Port by 3 points just before the bye was vintage Hawthorn- they were completely blitzed in the first quarter before clawing their way back through grit and unrelenting defence. Prior to that game, though, they had 3 straight losses (including 2 at home) in which they failed to top 75 points. Strange for a multiple Premiership-winning forward line.
Adelaide (LWLLL) – While it is mighty hard for an AFL side to keep winning when there is such a lack of continuity in the side, the fact remains that the Crows are one of the more adept downhill skiing sides in the competition. They run a lot harder with the ball than without it, and the fact they are ranked last in the competition for tackling differential highlights that, despite their personnel, they are not controlling the things they can control- effort! The way a very inexperienced Fremantle side out-tackled, out-ran and out-marked them was almost as embarrassing as being spanked by 91 points against Melbourne 3 weeks ago. Show some heart, Crows- lose here and it will be the first time since 2011 they’ve lost 4 in a row.
Stats That Matter
– The Hawks have won 8 of the last 9 meetings
– Overs is 4-2 in Adelaide’s last 6 games
– The Crows are averaging just 67 points per game in their last 4 (last year they averaged 108 points per game)
– Bryce Gibbs averages 111 Fantasy Points per game against the Hawks
– Hawthorn are 4-2 ATS at home this season
– Ricky Henderson had 30 disposals and 2 goals in his last game against his former club
– Tom Mitchell has had 130+ Fantasy points in his last 3 matches
2018 Line: Hawthorn- 6-5; Adelaide- 5-7
2018 Over-Under: Hawthorn- 4-7; Adelaide- 5-7
What To Expect
The Crows have a lot to play for, but the Wolf is keen to side with a more experienced Hawks side at the ‘G that should be buoyed by the never-say-die performance they pulled off against the Power before the bye. Wolfie is looking forward to watching Shaun ‘Silk’ Burgoyne go about his business, and he is expecting the 4 x Premiership player to have an effect all across the ground and have some vital touches at both ends in his big milestone game. You watch his teammates lift for him too. Wet weather expected, which will only suit the Hawks more, and take away some of the outside run of the Crows. Poo’s and Wee’s for the win here.
How It’s Shaping Up
Hawthorn by 14
Have you ever wanted to bet on a market that just isn’t available anywhere? If so, your life is about to change with William Hill’s BuildABet. Complete the form, requesting the market you want and our traders will price the market up for you! We will be in touch once the request is live on our site.