AFL Preview Round 1: Suns v Kangaroos

What a treat we have in store for us on Saturday night- what will likely be a clash of the two wooden spoon contenders! In what will likely be a torrential downpour at 99% humidity in Cairns, Stuart Dew makes his senior coaching debut against a developing Kangaroos side that lacks any genuine leg speed. Whether the Suns can play well enough to convince Lynch to stay remains to be seen, but they won’t get any better opportunity than Saturday night.

Form
Gold Coast showed there would be a huge increase in intensity under the tutelage of Stuart Dew, coming away with two wins from the JLT series. They started with a bang by smashing a ‘Dangerwoodlett’-less Geelong by 56 points before grinding it out in the wet against the Lions to win by 7 points. What was particularly impressive was their defensive pressure and two-way running- two traits that were completely missing from the 2017 Gold Coast side. Aaron Hall looked like he would relish the opportunity to step up without Ablett, while Dew will be relieved to see former #1 pick David Swallow healthy and contributing.

Sadly for Kangas fans, North Melbourne did not have a preseason campaign full of positives- headlined by the drunken mistake by Jy Simpkin that landed him in hotwater with a broken ankle. While they were competitive at stages against Melbourne and Richmond, North so often cannot arrest momentum, allowing the opposition to rack up huge quarters they can’t come back from (the 3rd quarter against Melbourne saw them concede 47 points).

Stats That Matter
– The Kangaroos are 2-8 ATS away from home
– Overs is 5-0 in their last 5 match-ups
– Jarryd Lyons picked up 39 disposals in their match last year
– Both sides got 80+ in 3 of the last 4 match-ups
– Ben Brown and Tom Lynch have 25 goals between them in their past 3 clashes
– In Round 1, 2017- Overs went 9-0
– Gold Coast have won just 2 from 7 at Cazaly’s

Betting Data
2018 Line: 0-0
2018 Over-Under: 0-0
2017 Line: Gold Coast- 6-16; North Melbourne- 4-18
2017 Over-Under: Gold Coast- 10-12; North Melbourne- 12-10

What To Expect
With heavy rain predicted, and two sides that lack genuine A-grade quality through the midfield, it is safe to say this will not be a pretty game. The Wolf is keen on a very tight game, and is just siding the way of the Suns after their impressive JLT series.

How It’s Shaping Up
GC by 6

Pump it Up Price Special: Ben Brown & Tom Lynch Combine for 6+ goals ($3.75)

Recommended Bets
Best: Triple Margin 15.5 ANY OTHER RESULT ($2.10)
Value: (Player Multi) Jarryd Lyons & Ben Cunnington both 30+ Disposals ($7.15)
Player Prop: Ben Brown & Tom Lynch Combine for 6+ goals ($3.75)
First Goal Scorer: Tom Lynch ($8.00)

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