DT Talk: AFL Preview Finals Wk 3

AFL DreamTeam Talk Bets

The DT Talk boys give us a full run down of their best player props for the Prelimenary Finals. Calvin, Warnie and Roy have dissected the match-ups to give us their value picks of the week.

Finals Wk 3
DT Talk Player Prop Bets
Geelong v Sydney
(Fri 19:50)

Tips by: Calvin

Is there any better way to kick off a weekend than a Friday night Preliminary Final? I don’t think so.

Separating the superstars in this game was always going to be tough. But after weighing up form and previous history here, the answer has to be Patrick Dangerfield (just). He’s paying $3.30 to have the most touches tonight and is coming off a nice 35 against the Hawks two weeks ago. He had 34 on the Swans in round 16 and as we know, Sydney can give up plenty of the ball to their opposition midfielders. Josh Kennedy ($3) is the obvious danger after his mammoth 42 disposals last weekend, but I still have Danger beating him by a couple.

Dan Hannebery ($5) is going far too well at the moment to pass up on in the Fantasy market. He hasn’t dropped under 100 in his last seven games this year at an average of 119.

Last week, Roy was all over Jake Lloyd and for a million and one good reasons. He fell just short but that won’t stop us jumping back on the man who has averaged 28 touches in his last three games. At $2.20 he basically a sure thing to take out group B for disposals and although we won’t get him at $7 this week, he is paying $4 to take out group B in Fantasy. He has averaged 104 in his last six games and even had a solid 96 in his last game at the MCG.

Finally, expect Luke Parker to get down and dirty tonight to lay the most tackles. Out of everyone in the group, he has laid 8 more tackles than the second best player over the last two games and although he’s the favourite, $3.25 is still super value.

GWS v Western Bulldogs
(Sat 17:15)

Tips by: Roy

The first thing that caught my eye when I crunched the numbers in this game was the fact that Heath Shaw went bananas last time he met the Dogs back in round nine. He had 38 touches that day and to crack the 30+ mark again, and can be snapped up at juicy odds of $4.10.

If you’re convinced Shaw can replicate that round nine game, then cash in on more markets as well. He’s paying $2.75 for marks (had 16 in rd 9) and $6 to lead all Fantasy scorers (176pts in rd 9).

The Dogs will be desperate and when it comes to applying pressure, there isn’t many better than Luke Dahlhaus. He has had 7 and 9 tackles in his finals games so far and at $5.50, he’s certainly worth a dabble. In Fantasy, you can find him way down in Group B as the favourite at $3.

Fresh off 39 touches against the Hawks last week, Jack Macrae ($4.50) is great value to get the most touches. He’ll find plenty of uncontested ball and will be right up there with the leaders.

At $3.25, you can’t go past Marcus Bontempelli in group B when it comes to disposals. He’ll attract some attention, but when doesn’t he? Group B is always a weak field and in there, Bont is the only shining star capable of a 30+ game.

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