Brazil 2016: Day 14 Tips, Fri/Sat
Day 14 Feature Previews
Athletics: Men’s Walk (Fri 9:00pm)
A veteran at 38, Frenchman Diniz is walking in arguably career-best form. He broke the world record at the 2014 World Champs, smashing the previous mark by 1min 41sec. He then broke the 20km world record. He will be fresh after an injury layoff last year. He has won three of his last four 50km races where he was not disqualified.
Bet: Yohann Diniz ($5.00)
Canoeing: Men’s K1 200m – (Fri 11:14pm)
A new addition to the Olympics in London, Canadian Mark de Jonge is the man to beat after collection bronze 4 years ago. If we are to go off form though it is Frenchman Maxime Beaumont who has been the more consistent of the pair. He and Britain’s Liam Heath have both beat out de Jonge in the lead up to Rio. The Wolf says they will both finish in front of him again.
Bet: Maxime Beaumont ($3.25)
Rhythmic Gymnastics: Individual (Fri 11:20pm)
The Wolf was very keen on the chances of Russian Yana Kudryavtseva when markets first opened at $1.76. She’s now $1.50 such is the confidence around that she’ll take home gold. Russia have won individual gold at the last four Games. Kudryavtseva is only 18 but already has three titles at the World Champs (2013, 2014, 2015). Her training partner Margarita Mamun ($2.75) should collect silver. If there is a bolter, it’s Laura Zeng ($26).
Bet: Yana Kudryavtseva ($1.50)
Equestrian: Individual Jumping (Sat 2:30am)
With favourite Simon Delestre out injured, the individual jumping is wide open. The Wolf likes what he has seen from Canadian veteran Eric Lamaze. He’s seen it all before and is riding with plenty of confidence. At this point he is the only rider to jump triple clear rounds in Brazil. He’s a great bet at double figure odds. The two Aussies Edwina Tops-Alexander ($67) and Matt Williams ($151) are both rank outsiders.
Bet: Eric Lamaze
Women’s Athletics: 20km Walk (Sat 3.30am)
World champion Liu Hong will be tough to topple here. She set the world record of 1:24:38 in 2015 in the Spanish Leg of the 2015 IAAF Race Walking Challenge and is unbeaten since March 2015. She’s short for a reason.
Bet: Liu Hong ($1.42)
Women’s Water Polo Final: USA v Italy (Sat 4.30am)
USA and Italy both topped their respective groups and both remain unbeaten for the competition. The USA have been the dominant force in the sport in recent years and know what it takes when the stakes are high. To go along with their gold medal in London, they’ve won the FINA Water Polo World League in 9 of the past 11 years and are the current FINA World League and World Championship holders.
Bet: USA ($1.11)
Men’s Basketball: USA v Spain (Sat 4.30am)
The USA have been on cruise control this tournament and have found themselves pushed a number of times. They appeared to knuckle down against Argentina though and won’t be caught unawares by a Spain team they consider their biggest rivals. This should be a big performance from the US team for the full 40 minutes.
Bet: USA -16.5 ($1.90)
Women’s Hockey Final: Netherlands v Great Britain (Sat 6:00am)
It’s a battle of the group winners in the gold medal match after The Netherlands topped Group A on 13 points, while Great Britain took out Group B on 15 points and remain undefeated for the tournament. While Great Britain have been ultra-impressive in their road to the gold medal match, The Wolf is sticking with the Dutch who he tipped before the Olympics started. Experience counts for plenty in the big games and The Netherlands have plenty of it. They’ve won the last two Olympic gold medals and have finished no worse than third since Atlanta 1996. Look for Netherlands captain and two-time FIH Player of the Year, Maartje Paumen to inspire her side to victory.
Bet: Netherlands ($1.58)
Athletics: Women’s Pole Vault – (Sat 9:30am)
The qualifying round went perfectly for us with Morris and our value bet McCartney both making their way into the final. McCartney, The Wolf’s value pick, looked extremely comfortable in what looks a very open event. Stefanidi has dominated the Diamond League but is unproven at this level. American Sandi Morris leads the field with a season best of 4.93 compared to Stefanidi’s 4.86. She was 4th at the world champs and has cleared 4.95 indoors. The value still lies with New Zealand’s Eliza McCartney. At just 20 years of age she continues to set career best marks and her latest was a 4.80 in Dunedin earlier this year. we have seen youngsters consistently set PB marks in the field event and if she can continue the trend she is in with a shout for gold.
Best: Sandi Morris ($3.60)
Other: Eliza McCartney ($34)
Women’s Athletics: 5000m Final (Sat 10.40am)
The only thing stopping the raging favourite Almaz Ayana from winning the 5000m is how much the 10,000m has taken out of her. It’s fair to say probably not a lot after she broke the world record in a time of 29:17.45. It’s impossible to knock her 5000m form after her success in the 2015 World Champs and the Diamond League event in Rome, where she recorded the second fastest time by a woman over 5000m. She’ll be completing the 5000m/10,000m double.
Bet: Almaz Ayana ($1.02)
Athletics: Men’s 4 x 100m Relay (Sat 11.25am)
This is typically Jamaica’s race having won gold at the last four world champs and last two Olympic games. With Bolt under an injury cloud though and Asafa Powell now retired, the US team looks plenty of value at $4.00. The US have run 4 of the top 5 100m times this year.
Bet: USA ($3.75)
BMX: Men’s Final (Sat 4:10am)
It’s all shaping up beautifully for Wolf followers that chimed in at the $10 for Aussie Sam Willoughby. Two-time defending champ Maris Strombergs and world champ Joris Daudet were shock eliminations early in the tournament with the windy conditions causing havoc. That leaves Willoughby as the best rider left going into the semis and then the final. Go again punters at the $4 for Willoughy. It’s his to lose now.
Sam Willoughby ($4.00)
Men’s Basketball: Australia v Serbia (Fri 8:00am)
The Wolf has been riding The Boomers all tournament and is confident their campaign will continue into the gold medal match. Australia’s high-powered offense had few issues dismantling Lithuania. Serbia are a different proposition but they will also have trouble with Australia’s speed. Australia already has a win over Serbia this Olympics. Expect Patty Mills and Matthew Dellavedova to dominate this match.
Bet: Australia -3.5 ($1.90)
Don’t forget to check out our full coverage of the Olympic Games.