Brazil 2016: Day 12 Tips, Wed/Thur
Day 12 Feature Previews
Athletics: Men’s Decathlon (10.30pm)
It is a terrible shame that the decathlon has fallen so far in prominence because Ashton Eaton should be one of the stars of the game. The American will go back-to-back after winning gold in London.
Bet: Ashton Eaton ($1.12)
Canoeing: Men’s C1 200m (Wed 10:30pm)
As it is over such a short distance the C1 200m category is sure to throw a spanner in the works. The Wolf says to steer clear of Qiang and the shorts and has found huge value about Benavides. At the World Cup meet in Duisburg earlier in the year he was one of the fastest in the heats before posting the fastest time in the semi’s – more than half a second better than the field. In the final he was edged out by less than a tenth of a second and at this price you want to be on!
Best: Alfonso Benavides ($8)
Equestrian: Team Jumping (Wed 11:00pm)
Brazil, Germany, Neatherlands and USA go into Round 2 as equal first after each country recorded clear scores. The Wolf expected big things from France going into the event but the best they can hope for now is a podium finish. Germany are the even money favourites and given their recent equestrian dominance, fair enough. However, The Wolf liked what he saw from USA in Round 1 and they looks great value at $6 to take home gold again (USA won it in Athens and Beijing).
Bet: USA ($6)
Athletics: Men’s 3000m Steeplechase (12.25am)
This is a clear race in two between the Kenyans (who have won this race at every Olympics since 1980) with rising star Conseslus Kipruto the favourite to knock off veteran Ezekiel Kemboi. Kemboi won gold in Athens and London while Kiprulto has won all five Diamond League meets this year. The value is with Kemboi, who has won four straight world champs. Kemboi ran 4s faster in ’15 and though he has been 10s off the pace this year can turn the tables. There was 4s difference in the heats.
Bet: Ezekiel Kemboi ($3.00)
Badminton: Mixed Doubles Final (Thur 12.50am)
The Wolf nominated the pairing of Ahmad and Nasir as his value bet at the start of the competition at $9. They took the current Olympic and World Champions – Zhang and Zhao to three sets in the semi-finals of the World Champs and have made amends in Rio, knocking the Chinese team out in the semi-finals. They’ll be too strong for the Malaysian duo of Chan and Goh in the final.
Bet: Natsir and Ahmad
Women’s Hockey Semi-Final: Netherlands v Germany (Thur 1:00am)
The Netherlands were The Wolf’s tip before the Olympics started and nothing has changed his mind after the Dutch topped Group A in qualification, with Germany back in third place. The Dutch have won gold in the last two games in Beijing and London and have finished no worse than third since Atlanta 1996. They also beat Germany 2-0 in the group stage. Short enough but they’ll be winning or take the better odds for them to win the gold medal.
Bet: Netherlands ($1.11)
BMX: Women’s Seeding (2:30am)
The reigning Games and World Champion, Mariana Pajon, is the dominant force in women’s BMX and goes into this race as the favourite for the Gold medal. The 24 year old, world number 1, is commonly known as the ‘Queen of BMX’ due to her achievements and it is hard to look past her for the gold medal here. Take the $3 with confidence at Seeding.
Bet: Pajon $3
Athletics: Men’s Javelin (Thur 9:30am)
Of all the favourites in the field events The Wolf rates Thomas Rohler as the best value of them all. Statistically no one should come close to him. He has produced a 91.28m throw this year which is more than 3m better than any of the other athletes. He has won 4 Diamond League events and the Diamond Race and continues to get better with every competition. Yego, has been on the decline since winning the world championships and following an impressive 92.72m throw to win gold he has managed a season best of just 84.68m. The Wolf says to stick with Rohler!
Bet: Rohler ($2.75)
Women’s Athletics: 200m Final (Thur 11.30am)
Schippers recorded the third fastest 200m by a woman with her 21.63 at the World Championships in Beijing. It was also a new European record and makes her the woman to beat in Rio. Jamaica’s Elaine Thompson ran second to Schippers in Bejing with a time of 21.66 and looks to be her main threat again especially after winning the 100m in Rio. The Wolf likes that Schippers can change gears when she wants as highlighted by her 22.36 semi-final time at the World Champs before exploding in the final with her blistering 21.63.
Bet: Dafne Schippers ($1.60)
Men’s Basketball: Australia v Lithuania (Thur 12:00am)
The Boomers finished second in Group A and now tackle old rivals Lithuania in a monster quarter final clash. Lithuania have faded badly this tournament including a 50-point loss to Spain. The Boomers need to play tough but should have too much scoring.
Bet: Australia -3.5 ($1.90)
BMX: Men’s Seeding (3:34am)
Aussie Sam Willoughby finished as runner up in London 2012 and has spent the past four years learning from that experience. He returns a much stronger athlete. Based in San Diego, he can call upon a replica of the Rio course to train on, built by the US Olympic Committee. He has put over 3kg of muscle on since London and is riding a much higher gear. He is a big chance at good odds. Get on early.
Bet: Sam Willoughby $10
Don’t forget to check out our full coverage of the Olympic Games.