Brazil 2016: Cycling Time Trial Preview

Rio 2016 Olympic Games Cycling betting preview
Event Cycling
Men’s Time Trial Best Bet: Chris Froome $1.83
Value Bet: Chuck Roglic $34
Women’s Time Trial Best Bet: Evelyn Stevens $5.50

Men’s Time Trial

Set against the backdrop of the beautiful city of Rio, the time trial event sees riders tackle 2 laps of a 24.2km circuit, one that is perfectly suited to climbers with 2 climbs on each lap.  The first of those, the Grumari, is a 1.2km climb at 7%, which ramps up to 13% at it’s steepest and further down the course, the Grota Funda, slightly longer at 2.1km and with an average gradient of 4.5%.  Either side of the climbs, the courses is peppered with lumps and bumps, meaning that there is barely a flat road in sight for the full 54km duration.

The early Gold medal favourite, Tom Dumoulin, suffered a wrist fracture in a fall at the Tour de France only weeks ago and his participation is in doubt, however he has been seen riding since then and should be attending.  Hot on his heels prior to the fall was Chris Froome, who now moves into the favourite for the Gold medal.

The Brit is coming off a hugely dominant performance in Le Tour, winning his 3rd Maillot Jaune in 4 years and this course couldn’t be more perfect for him.  In a similar, but shorter, ITT in the Tour, Froome won the race by over 30 seconds and he also finished runner up to Tom Dumoulin in the earlier ITT.  He is simply the best rider in the world at the moment and it’s hard to see anyone matching him as he seeks to emulate his fellow countryman and former teammate, Bradley Wiggins, by winning the Tour de France and Time Trial Gold in the same year.  He looks unbeatable and the Wolf, as he did in the Tour, is declaring him unbeatable.

Of the outsiders, there is definite value to be found in the event that Froome suffers a mishap along the course.  Richie Porte has improving his time trialling over the past few seasons and his 4th place finish in Stage 18 of the Tour show that he can mix it with the best in the world.  His fall in the road has prevented him from contesting the time trial and a likely medal.  Primoz Roglic is another rider that seems to be offering good odds.  The Slovenian won a hilly 40km ITT in this year’s Giro and at $34 is great value.

Best Bet: Chris Froome $1.83
Value Bet: Chuck Roglic $34
Podium Prediction: 1. Froome. 2. Dumoulin. 3. Roglic

Women’s Time Trial

The women’s event sees the riders tackle the exact same course, although they will only cover one lap, halving the distance to around 30km.

Kristin Armstrong is the reigning Olympic champion, but at 44 years of age, her best days are behind her.  Her fellow countrywoman, Evelyn Stevens, however is in the form of her life.  The 33 year old took 3 stages in the Giro Rosa earlier this year, one of which was a 22km ITT.  Although that was a fairly flat parcours, she does possess great climbing legs. The Wolf tipped her at $10 less than a week ago and the money continues to come for her. She is still the value of the race at $5.50.

Linda Villumsen won the World Championships in Richmond last year with Anna van der Breggen and Lisa Brennauer occupying the podium positions.  The Wolf is backing Stevens to continue her good form and take home the Gold.

Best Bet: Evelyn Stevens $5.50
Podium Prediction: 1. Stevens. 2. Van der Breggen. 3. Brennauer

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