Brazil 2016: Swimming

swimming olympics

Olympics: Swimming

Coming off the back of their worst games since Barcelona in 1992, the Australian team will be looking to bounce back in Rio in what is shaping up to be a cracking opening week of swimming. One of the big drawcards will see the return of the greatest swimmer of all time Michael Phelps in his attempt to become the first ever swimmer to win an individual gold medal at 4 consecutive games.

On paper, it shapes as a lucrative games for Australia as they hold favouritism in a record 11 events. It’s a tag that they have historically not handled too well but this preparation has been different, with very few bold predictions coming from within the team. Cate Campbell (50 & 100 freestyle), Emily Seebohm (100 & 200 backstroke), Mitch Larkin (100 & 200 backstroke) and Cam Mcevoy (100 freestyle) go into their individual events at deserved short price favourites.

BEST BETS

Men’s 400 Freestyle

The men’s 400 freestyle final on the opening night is shaping up to be the fastest in history with eight men already posting times under 3.45 this year. Even with such depth in the field it is going to be race in two between Australia’s Mack Horton and China’s Sun Yang. Horton’s sizzling 3.41.65 at the trials in April made him the second fastest Australian of all time behind some guy called Ian Thorpe. It was enough to bring him into favouritism at $2. After a finishing a disappointing 11th at his first international meet last year, he will be keen to show the world that he can perform on the big stage. Defending champion Sun Yang has certainly had a colourful history in the sport, testing positive to a banned substance in 2014, he was outed from the sport for 3 months, and only late last year pulled out of the 1500m at the world championships due to heart problems. Yang has only posted a time of 3.43.5 this year but The Wolf thinks he has yet to show his hand and will deliver come finals night.

Best Bet – Sun Yang – $2.10

Womens 200 Backstroke

It was only a month ago that the reigning champion and world record holder Missy Franklin was equal favourite for this event. However after sub-par performances at the US trials last month she has been pushed out to $6 in betting. The ‘Iron Lady’ Katinka Hosszu has a huge program in Rio and she’ll have already swam on 13 occasions by the time this comes around on Day 5. With the 200 backstroke being a very tough event, The Wolf is sticking with the favourite and reigning World Champion Emily Seebohm. The 200 has never been her favourite event, however Seebohm posted the fastest time in the world since London 2012 to win last years World Champs in 2.05.81.

Best Bet – Emily Seebohm – $2.40

Multi

Adam Peaty $1.33 – Men’s 100 Breastroke – The big South African Cameron van der Burgh is going to have his work cut out to retain his 2012 title. Adam Peaty smashed the world record last year to become the first ever swimmer to break the 58 second mark. He has already posted some pretty slick times this year and The Wolf expects him to really go on with it at Rio.

Cameron McEvoy $1.45 – Men’s 100 Freestyle – McEvoy’s recent decision to drop the 200m freestyle to focus on the 100 might spell trouble for the world record in this event. The Professor’s best time is over half a second quicker than the rest of the field and only 0.1 from Caesar Cielos 46.91 record set in a textile suit. Nathan Adrian is a big time performer that always steps up come finals time. He is most well-known for knocking off James Magnusson in London, however The Wolf thinks that the little Australian should have his measure this time around.

Mitch Larkin $1.33 – Men’s 200 Backstroke – The World Swimmer of the Year comes into the games as the red hot favourite in both the 100 and 200 backstroke. It’s the latter where his personal best is close to 1 second faster than 2nd pick Ryan Murphy ($4.50) from the USA. He will win this and win it well, hopefully adding his 2nd individual gold for the week to his personal tally.

Total – $2.56

 

Swimming Mens
Mens 400m Individual Medley Kosuke Hagino ($1.45)
Mens 200m Individual Medley Michael Phelps ($1.90)
Mens 400m Freestyle Sun Yang ($2.10)
 Mens 1500m Freestyle Greogrio Paltrinieri ($1.50)
 Mens 200m Freestyle James Guy ($2.60)
 Mens 100m Breastroke Adam Peaty ($1.33)
 Mens 200m Breastroke Marco Koch ($3.25)
 Mens 4x200m Freestyle USA ($1.30)
 Mens 100m Backstroke David Plummer ($3.30)
 Mens 4x100m Freestyle Australia ($2.30)
 Mens 100m Freestyle Cameron McEvoy ($1.45)
 Mens 50m Freestyle Florent Manadou ($1.60)
 Mens 200m Backstroke Mitch Larkin ($1.33)
 Mens 100m Butterfly Chad Le Clos ($3)
 Mens 200m Butterfly Laszlo Cseh ($2.25)
 Mens 4x100m Medley USA ($1.23)
Swimming Womens
Womens 200m Butterfly Natsumi Hoshi ($3.25)
Womens 100m Butterfly Sarah Sjostrom ($1.12)
Womens 200m Individual Medley Katinka Hosszu ($1.08)
Womens 400m Individual Medley Katinka Hosszu ($1.18)
Womens 4x100m Freestyle Australia ($1.12)
Womens 100m Freestyle Cate Campbell ($1.33)
Womens 50m Freestyle Cate Campbell ($1.70)
Womens 100m Backstroke Emily Seebohm ($1.70)
Womens 200m Backstroke Emily Seebohm ($2.40)
Womens 100m Breastroke Lilly King ($1.65)
Womens 200m Breastroke Viktoria Gunes ($3)
Womens 400m Freestyle Katie Ledecky ($1.03)
Womens 200m Freestyle Katie Ledecky ($1.70)
Womens 800m Freestyle Katie Ledecky ($1.01)
Womens 4x200m Freestyle USA ($1.12)
Womens 4x100m Medley Australia ($1.85)

 

Check back in between heats and finals throughout the week for more swimming tips from The Wolf.

Don’t forget to check out our full coverage of the Olympic Games.

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